The conspiracy against risk
 
Discussion forum Number 24, October 1999 
Editorial

The importance of Risk in Modern Society: Risk Society

Environmental Policy under Conditions of Complexity

Ulrich Beck and the social dimensions of risk

Insurance against environmental damage

Interview with Salvador Giner

Environmental legislation

News

Ecology of leisure


Editorial

The conspiracy against risk

Risk is an inherent characteristic of life. Despite the fact that this is very evident, man has made greater and greater attempts to conspire against risk since the beginning of industrial society. By eliminating it totally from our lives, we would be totally safe. That, however, is a hopeless struggle. 
In fact, the conspiracy began hundreds of years ago. In Catalonia, for example, the Taula de Canvi or Exchange House, the local forerunner of the modern-day insurance companies, was invented. According to the interview appearing in this edition between Medi Ambient. Tecnologia i cultura and the sociologist Salvador Giner, they were the most highly representative of modern-day life. He is probably right. At the end of the Second World War, Europe established the Welfare State with the consent of the United States. The Americans were highly concerned about the threat of Communism. Now apparently, they are rethinking it all over again because it is economically unsustainable.
Insurance companies (the latest ones claim for environmental damage), safer cars, lifetime jobs, retirement schemes, social security, etc. The conspiracy continues. It is a big paradox: we want to eliminate risk, yet on the other hand it increases day after day. Josep Espluga, sociologist at the Autonomous University of Barcelona, claims that «the real consequences of risks are always affected by social interpretations, and are always tied to group values and interests.» In poorer societies where the people suffer hunger, the perception of risk is radically different to that in societies where basic needs are met. 
The perception of risk in rich societies, however, is growing in giant steps with, for example, traffic accidents (with large numbers of fatal victims, especially at the weekend), transgenic food and global ecological crisis. This edition of Medi Ambient. Tecnologia i cultura is dedicated to making a critical analysis of the risk society.
The industrial engineer and economist, Narcís Mir, gives an outline of the risk society and contends that it is increasingly important. Josep Espluga, lecturer of environmental sociology at the Autonomous University of Barcelona, gives a critical overview of the different approaches to the concept of risk. Funtowicz and Ravetz make an in-depth study of the concept of complexity and argue that hegemonic science needs postnormal science to be able to reflect on today's environmental challenges. José Luis de las Heras, head of the Environmental Risk Pool, gives the perspective from the insurance companies' point of view. This edition of the magazine rounds off with an interview with Salvador Giner and the regular columns on environmental law by Ignasi Doñate, and news.
A series of articles that help to understand why a certain amount of risk is necessary. Life is risk and uncertainty. And today, more so than ever before •
 

Lluís Reales
Editor of Medi Ambient. Tecnologia i cultura


The Importance of Risk in Modern Society: Risk Society 
Narcís Mir i Soler
Industrial engineer and economist. Member of the Board of the Catalonian Institute of Safety Studies (IDES)

The so-called «risk society» is a new social paradigm, resulting from the modernisation of the industrial society, characterised by the fact that the logic of risk production predominates over the logic of wealth production. In order to demonstrate the growing importance of risk in contemporary society, the author formulates a structural law of risk and examines its validity.

Is risk an important factor at industrial society’s current stage of development? And if it is important, is this importance conjunctional or could risk be considered a structural factor in the process of modernisation? Is it rash to speak of the emergence of a new social figure -risk society- originated as a consequence of industrial society’s modernisation process?
All these questions -and others- make up a lively debate currently being held on the significance of risk production in developed industrial societies. Those in favour of the emergence of a new social form –risk society– maintain that whereas in industrial society the logic of the creation of wealth predominates over the logic of the production of risks, the development itself of this model of society is causing this dominance to be inverted; and that this change of logic has social significance. But that is not all. Risk society also means other social changes brought about by the loss of traditions in the lifestyle of industrial society: work, family, social classes and so on.
I must warn you, right from the beginning, that the aim of this article is in no way to answer all of these questions. To start with, I will simply make a few comments on the characteristics of risk society, and then I will concentrate on a far more specific analysis of risk in modern society. 

An Outline of Risk Society

Risk society is a new social form which came about as a consequence of the modernisation of industrial society. In accordance with this paradigm, the birth of this new social form was not produced by a political outburst, but as a consequence of the modernisation of industrial society itself. As Beck says «industrial society takes its leave of the scene of world history down the back stairs of secondary effects».
Risk society has two sides. On the first side we find the loss of innocence of the productive forces. Industrialisation meant a materialisation of scholarly thought. Man believed that with reason he would dominate Nature and would transform it, subjecting it to satisfy his needs. And this process would be linear, that is, with no limits. Today we see that the creation of wealth is accompanied by the production of risk. The fact that at first they could be considered as side effects of development, today they claim equality with the positive effects (utilities). That is, they demand to become inbred variables of the development model.
The second side of risk society refers to the collapse of the social co-ordinates of industrial society, both with regard to the loss of traditional lifestyles and to the relationship between science and society and between politics and society. 
In the loss of traditional lifestyles in industrial society we find the loss of weight of the stratification of society in classes as a useful category for explaining social change; the crisis of the family model (as shown by the incorporation of women in the workplace, the generalised increase in the divorce rate and the increase in the number of one-parent families); the destandardisation of productive labour and its individualisation and so on. All in all, we can see a process of individualisation of social inequality. 
In this article I will confine myself to the first dimension of risk society. I will begin by indicating the fundamental characteristics of this paradigm.

1. It comes about through modern causes

Risks are undoubtedly not an invention of the Modern Age. However, in the past they were not tied to development itself, whereas today they come about through the very process of development. Thus, both the production processes and the goods produced not only provide utility, but, at the same time, risk. Think of nuclear fission, the storage of nuclear waste, environmental pollution, the risk from certain industries, motor vehicles and so on. These collateral or side effects are unwanted, but go systematically along with the creation of wealth (and utility) and acquire, increasingly, greater relevance. So much so that today nobody talks of development, but rather of sustainable development, emphasising, symbolically, the importance of side effects. All in all, the modernisation process becomes reflexive, in the sense that it takes itself as object and problem.

2. The globalisation of risk

This globalisation has two aspects. On the one hand the effects are transnational: the Chernobyl case, the greenhouse effect, the effect on the ozone layer, transboundary pollution and so on. On the other, economic globalisation implies a process of transfer of sources of danger: meat from «mad cows»; the leak of caesium-137 from the Acerinox plant in Cadiz, which has alerted us to the dangers of the international movement of scrap materials; and so on.

3. The future component of risk

«In comparison with the tangible evidence of wealth, risks have something unreal about them. On the one hand, many dangers and forms of destruction are real: polluted and dying water, the destruction of forests, new illnesses, etc. On the other, the real social power of the risk argument lies in the projection of threats for the future».(1) 
Consequently, risks have a highly probabilistic element. What happens is that the consequences and the damage which have already become apparent enable us to mention the probabilistic element and make better predictions.

4. The perception of risk

Whereas we perceive the majority of the goods we consume directly, this does not happen with the new risks, which escape immediate human perception. One only need think of the effects of radiation, pollution, the thinning of the ozone layer, the greenhouse effect, harmful substances in foodstuffs and so on., to realise that we need science to make these risks «visible» and to be able to interpret them as dangers. To gain knowledge of these risks science habitually uses several tools: it carries out experiments, it uses measuring instruments and draws up theories. This causes it to be said that science «sets risks» and the population «perceives risks». However, the theories obtained have a high degree of uncertainty, that is, along with the deciding factor, a large proportion is stochastic or probabilistic, which allows for a powerful set of social and political pressures and gives the role of the media considerable importance in the acquiring of a risk consciousness. In short, the risk can be reduced, increased or removed from one’s consciousness.
All this supposes that risk society becomes installed in an environment of speculation. Let’s suppose that the population lives quite peacefully. At some point a «scientific» study emphasises the harmful effect of, say, the thinning of the ozone layer, the greenhouse effect, the population explosion or any other issue. Voices are immediately raised in opposition or doubting the results of the study: either because of the basic hypotheses, or because of ignorance of the effects a particular element may cause, because of the methodology of the study and so on. The media intervene to highlight this debate and two opposing forces appear: the force of the bad news, which always has an impact, and is backed up by the «scientific» study and by the favourable opinion of social groups who want to inform society of the seriousness of the situation; and on the other hand, the force of pressure from other social groups who stand to lose out thanks to the measures which would need to be taken as a consequence of accepting the study which acted as a trigger and who contribute another or other «scientific» studies which neutralise or notably qualify the first. 
Given that risks are considered real when the population perceives them as real, everything will depend on the ability to influence the different forces and people’s circumstances. One cannot forget that poverty is current and can be experienced directly and risk is invisible and far-off. For this reason the perception of risk can only come about in developed countries. As a consequence of gathering information the population can acquire a risk consciousness. If this is so, the problem suddenly appears on political agendas and develops important political dynamics. When programmed and continuous action is required, they are incorporated into political programmes and awareness of the problem is mentioned with great solemnity: only in this way can the party win votes. Not even the parties who fail to see the importance of the problem can afford not to include it on their agenda, not unless they want to be labelled irresponsible. Risk perception is, therefore, an important characteristic of risk society which lends it vital political character.

5. Nature-society dialectics

Risk society supposes the end of the comparison between Nature and society. Whereas modernity and its appearance in the process of industrialisation thought of Nature as something given which had to be subjected, the very process of industrialisation has destroyed the idea of Nature as something not social. Today we find ourselves surrounded by artificial Nature, in the sense that it is not left to its own devices.
Therefore, environmental problems cannot be considered problems of the environment but as social problems, that is, Man’s problems with significance for his economic, cultural and political conditions. All in all, society can no longer be understood as autonomous from Nature. 

6. State of emergency

The control of risk can suppose a considerable chance of intervention by the State. As Ulrich Beck says... «it is more likely that under the pressure of imminent danger responsibilities are redefined, the authority to act becomes centralised and all the details of the modernisation process are set with bureaucratic control and planning. Risk society is not a revolutionary society, but rather a society of catastrophes. In it, the state of emergency threatens to become the normal state of affairs.
The gravity of the environmental hazards described for the life of plants, animals and humans «legitimises» the authors with the clear conscience of ecological morality to use language with an abundance of expressions such as «control», «official authorisation» and «official supervision». It is typical that with the argument of the seriousness of damage to the environment rights to intervene, plan and administer with greater or lesser freedom should be demanded.
In short, the panorama of scientific-bureaucratic authoritarianism appears.»(2)(3) 
All in all, it can be observed that to prevent «civilising side effects» other «political side effects» may be produced which threaten the exercise of democracy. 
So far I have referred to the postulates which define the outlines of risk society. The analysis I shall undertake from now on is of a more microeconomic nature, in an attempt to explore the relative importance of risk in the modernisation process of industrial society. To do this I will use an operative concept of risk and I will formulate a law of risk behaviour. I will then present indications which enable you to consider this law plausible. Finally, I will identify criteria for the creation of value in safety. 

The Growing Importance of Risk in Modern Society

In order to obtain measurable propositions in relation to risk it is advisable to first define it in an operative manner (4). The word risk is used with several meanings: an unfavourable contingency to which someone or something is exposed, uncertainty derived from exercising a business activity, uncertain danger, etc. In this article I will use the mathematical-statistical concept of risk, which quite simply is the mathematical expectancy of loss.
If we consider an event with which it is possible to associate a value of probability (P) and damage or an effect (S = Severity), the risk (R) will be defined by the product of this probability by the value of the effect, that is:
R = P • S
where
0 ? P ? 1
These effects can be measured in different ways: in economic terms, in number of accidents, in loss of human life, in personal injuries, etc. Thus, if an accident occurs at a frequency of once every 10 years and causes 20 deaths, the risk will be:
2 deaths / year
If for this same accident we evaluate the losses at 1,500 million pesetas, the risk will be:
150 million pesetas / year
In short, we will use as the risk value the mathematical expectancy of loss, which is the value of the losses we can expect in the long term. 
When the sources of danger are various and so are the effects of an event (injuries, patrimonial losses, etc.) it is necessary to use a common unit of measure. In this case, the losses are expressed in monetary units, to be able to aggregate them. 
I will frequently refer to a generic form, the objects of risk. We will understand by object of risk or source of danger any element the use or presence of which implies a risk. That is, the use of the object or the presence of the object brings with it the probability of an event occurring which causes damage to people, property or the environment. Therefore, within the concept of the object of risk we can find products, equipment, installations, vehicles and so on.
The use of these objects in everyday life and in social organisations is due to the fact that before they become risk producers they are utility producers, I use the term utility loosely, and that is why they are incorporated into society at great speed. The paradigm of «risk society» highlights the increasingly important role played by «side effects» in relation to utility. In this sense, risk is not only associated with a singular event (an accident), but with the damage that can be caused continually to the environment. 

The Law of the overflowing of risk

Once risk has been defined, I will show that in modern societies risk acquires a growing relative importance. To do this I will analyse the natural growth of risk in relation to the income and the number of inhabitants in a region. We will understand the term natural growth of risk to mean that which is produced if society does not introduce new corrective measures, which can be technological, organisational and so on., to neutralise it.
I state that, at industrial society’s current stage of development, the natural growth rate of risk is higher than the growth rate of income. Consequently, it can also be said that for those societies experiencing a growth of income per capita, the natural growth rate of risk will be higher than the growth rate of the population and therefore the risk per person will increase.
When there is a linear relationship between objects of risk and income -which is a highly plausible hypothesis- the «natural» growth of risk with income can take two forms: either a linear function when there is no interrelation or synergies (in relation to risk) between the sources of danger, or a briskly growing function (with an upward slope) when the objects of risk are interrelated.
An example can illustrate this matter more clearly: the introduction of lifts in a social system causes linear growth of risk, that is, each of them brings the same amount of risk and does not modify the risk values of those already in existence (as it does not modify their probability of accidents nor the effects of the accidents). However, the same cannot be said of motor vehicles. Ten vehicles which are all the same driven by ten people who are all the same on ten roads which are all the same cause a total risk which is ten times the risk of one vehicle. On the other hand, this is not the case if we consider these vehicles which are all the same with ten people who are all the same on only one road. The total risk is greater than ten times the risk of one vehicle. And, therefore, the risk per vehicle has increased. Another example would be the saturation of air traffic, which causes a more than proportional increase in risk. 
I must point out straight away that this is the growth of risk -which we said was natural- which would be observed if society did not react to this phenomenon. As I shall have the opportunity to comment on later on, this does not have to be the case, but rather societies, to avoid the overflowing of risks, can assign more and more economic resources to prevention and protection, both in the form of new technologies and organisational innovations. 
Apart from the interrelation of objects of risk, there are other factors which reinforce this brisk growth. They are as follows:
1. The introduction of sources of danger which provide greater utility but, at the same time, greater risk. For example, today, cars are made to go at far greater speeds, which involves greater risk. 
2. A more intensive use of objects of risk. It is not the same to fly once a year as to fly every week. It is not the same to make a 1000-kilometre journey as a 10.000-kilometre one. Here the variable modified is the time we are exposed to the source of danger. In fact, we can avoid this consideration if when we talk of the use of objects of risk we refer to the services these objects provide (making a two-hour flight instead of a one-hour flight means that the number of units of service in the first case is 10 times the units of service in the second.).
3. The globalisation of risk with modernity. This globalisation, as I have already said, has two aspects: on the one hand, economic globalisation brings a sharp increase in the international movement of products and, therefore, of sources of risk; and on the other, the effects are increasingly transnational and, in some cases, universal.
4. The conversion of «latent side effects» into «visible side effects». This would be the case of the greenhouse effect, the thinning of the ozone layer, etc. Science produces this visibility of the effects, which we had no notion of previously.
All this enables us to state that growth of income is accompanied by a «natural» growth of risk which is, ceteris paribus, clearly accelerated. In percental values, the percental growth of risk is greater than the percental growth of income.
If instead of referring the natural growth of risk to income, we refer it to the inhabitants we will observe an even more accelerated natural growth, if we bear in mind that the growth of income per capita has been a constant in developed countries. 
We can state, in short, that in industrial societies economic growth is accompanied by a growth of risk and if corrective measures are not implemented permanently this risk will overflow, both in relation to income and in relation to the number of inhabitants. 
Indeed, this is what Jacques Attali senses when he says that «the emergence of new risks linked to globalisation cannot be managed other than by assigning a growing percentage of world income to insurance expenses».(5) 

Observing Reality

But, in actual fact, do we observe this relative growth of risk? Not necessarily, as the Authorities assign or induce the assigning of greater economic resources to slowing down this relative growth of risk. These resources take the form of technological innovation, administrative action, inspections and obligatory maintenance and so on.; all with the aim of reducing risk. That is, they are resources aimed at reducing the probability of unwanted events and the damage they cause, if they occur. Nor is it foreign to the aim of reducing the level of risk to displace certain high-risk activities towards less demanding countries, countries which are usually underdeveloped. Let us remember that faced with the dilemma poverty or risk, risk is always preferable.
That is, it is possible that this overflowing is not apparent due to the investments and expenses allocated to prevention and protection. However, we should observe some signs which would enable us to infer the existence of latent forces driving towards a relative growth of risk.
I shall expound below a series of indications which enable me to infer, tentatively, the existence of these latent forces.

Serious accidents
First of all, we have at our disposal data corresponding to the hundred most serious accidents which took place between 1957 and 1986. They are classified by decades in table 1.
These figures show that the number of accidents has more or less doubled every 10 years. This means a year-to-year growth of 6.8%, a value which is above the global economic growth rates of the total economies involved. 
It is clear that the number of accidents, without knowing their effects, is not an integral indication of risk. However, it can be stated that the negative effects have increased in the course of these years and, consequently, the values of damages would show an even greater rate of increase.

The risk of having an accident when driving a motor vehicle
For my analysis I will use the data from table 2, which apply to Spain.
In the section above we saw that the law of natural growth of risk hinged, in the first instance, on a good correlation between income and the number of objects of risk. Well, the correlation observed between the total number of vehicles in the country and the real GNP, using the period from 1974 to 1996, is 0.9816. Consequently, we can speak of an excellent linear relationship. The adjusting of a linear function by ordinary least squares (OLS) provides a statistically significant linear function. 
Next, I will analyse three series: the number of accidents, the number of accidents causing losses and the cost of these losses.
• The number of accidents
Here I use the number of accidents (NA) with casualties (dead and injured), recorded by the Spanish Traffic Directorate General, as a measure of risk. Its historical evolution is reflected in figure 1. As you can see it shows a tendency to rise.
I distinguish three periods:
The first 18 records, corresponding to the period 1972-89 (18 years and, therefore, a significant amount of time), define a tendency to increase with a peak in 1989. The change in tendency coincides with the passing of the vehicular traffic and road safety Act. However, during the whole of this first period of growth a great number of road safety measures were approved. We can mention amongst others:
• Maximum level of alcohol consumed by drivers set at 0.8 g/l
• Obligatory use of seat belts outside city limits
• Speed limits on roads inside city limits and on secondary roads
• First road safety plan
• Obligatory use of motorcycle helmets outside city limits
• Obligatory dipped headlights for motorcycles
• Regulation on driving time and rest periods
• Regulation of an MOT test for vehicles (introduced for private cars in 1986, although its effects did not become apparent until later, given the transitional period and the number of vehicles which were not in condition to pass the test and were subsequently taken off the road)
During the second period, from 1990 to 1994, 5 reports were made, with a reduction in the number of accidents.
The third period is from 1995-97 and shows an upturn in the number of accidents with a rise similar to the highest of the first period.
• The number of accidents with losses
If instead of referring to the number of accidents recorded by the Traffic Directorate General we refer to the number of accidents causing losses which result in claims to insurance companies (it is a far less selective record, as any road accident with damage counts), for the period 1988-1997 we obtain the historical evolution shown in figure 2.
The graph is conclusive: there are no structural changes like we saw in the number of accidents. The evolution follows a monotonously steady increase.
• The cost of losses
This is an integral datum which includes the economic cost, paid by insurance companies, caused by road accidents. Its historical evolution for 1988-1997 is shown in figure 3.
One must remember that cost of losses (CL) is expressed in constant pesetas which refer to the year 1986 (so that they can be compared to the series of the GNP in constant pesetas, with base 1986).
We can observe two periods, with a transition observation: the first period goes from 1988 to 1991 and is characterised by a sharp increase; and the second, from 1993 to 1997, by a marked stabilisation. In the middle there is a transition observation which corresponds to 1992.
We can use these observations to complete tables 3 and 4.
In table 3 we can observe three periods. In the first (1972-89) the growth rate of the number of accidents is higher than the growth rate of the GNP and the number of inhabitants. In the second (1989-94) there is a reduction in the number of accidents although the GNP and number of inhabitants still continue to increase, albeit more slowly. Finally, in the third period (1994-96), the growth rate of the number of accidents is again higher than the growth rate of the GNP and the number of inhabitants.
Consequently, there is seemingly a latent force in existence which periodically causes a growth of risk above the growth of the GNP and the number of inhabitants.
Table 4 is even more devastating, as for the whole period a growth rate of the number of accidents causing losses and the cost of losses is registered which is higher than the growth rate of the GNP and the number of inhabitants.

On Creating Value in Safety 

If we have seen that risk has an important relative growth, and risk is damage, the first question we ask ourselves is why decision-making agents do not allocate more resources in order to reduce this damage. Amongst the many answers I would highlight three:
• In the first place, between poverty and risk, people choose risk. You only have to look at which sector of workers registers the most industrial accidents.
• In the second place, because the decision maker will most likely make a short-sighted decision, as the costs of reducing risk are immediate and real whereas the expected damage is far-off and unreal.
• And, thirdly, because of the negative externalities associated with risk. That is, the negative effects overwhelm the decision maker and can affect many other people and property, both public and private.
It is above all for this third reason that the intervention of public Authorities is unavoidable.
The second question we ask is by what criterion will public intervention be guided. For this we have to assume that public intervention is aimed at creating value in matters of risk. This creation of value is specified by the reduction of risk. But to what extent is it reduced? Or rather, how is this reduction distributed amongst different populations of sources of danger? That is, how does one go about designing effective public safety policies?
To analyse the different types of public policies that may be applied in matters of safety we must first define, as I mentioned earlier, which social aims or objectives we want to achieve. Once they have been defined, an analysis can be carried out of the public policy applied to see if it approaches or not the social objective we have established. Max Weber, on analysing social behaviour, defined four types of action: rational action with regard to the aim (that would be, for instance, action based on a principle of economic rationality); rational action with regard to value (of justice, ethics, equality, religious, etc.); emotional action (determined by impulses, emotions or states of mind); and traditional action (based on habit).
Here, having considered public activity as an exercise of rationality, we find ourselves in the first type: rationality in relation to an objective. Acting rationally with regard to the objective suggests the idea of methodicalness and emotional neutrality. It is impossible to analyse public policies without first defining the aim of the action. I will make the analysis assuming that we are pursuing an objective of economic rationality. If we choose another, this analysis would serve to establish the deviation caused (in economic terms) to economic optimality. First I have to define the concept of «optimum risk». Let us start from the assumption that risk reduction follows a curve of increasing marginal costs (figure 4). That is, reducing the first units of risk is relatively cheap but the reduction of successive units is carried out at an increasingly high cost. On the other hand, when making an economic analysis, the risk will express the expected damage valued in economic terms.
I define optimum risk as the risk value which minimises the total economic value, which is the sum of the expected damage plus the cost allocated to the reduction of risk. That there is a point of balance can be seen in an intuitive manner: The first units invested in risk reduction produces a reduction of damage (in economic values) higher than the investment made; therefore this operation is profitable and it is advisable to continue allocating resources to the reduction of risk (see figure 4).
However, from a certain point onwards (in the figure it is point A), the cost of reducing risk will be greater than the reduction of expected damage. This is the optimum point and here we must stop if we follow the principle of economic rationality, which here is realised in the minimisation of total costs (minimisation of the area a + b). The optimum risk is R*.
The project analysis technique used to bring us closer to the optimum risk is cost-profit analysis. If, on the other hand, the problem posed is not to determine the investment necessary to arrive at the optimum risk, but to have a certain amount of resources at our disposal and reduce risk to the maximum possible, then we are before a problem of cost-effectiveness. Whilst the cost-profit analysis seeks to determine the costs necessary to obtain the optimum risk, the cost-effectiveness analysis departs from a given budget and seeks a way to assign it to different objects of risk in order to reduce the level of risk to the maximum (maximum effectiveness). Or rather, from a specific objective of risk reduction, to obtain the distribution of costs so that the total cost is minimal.
It can be shown that the optimum solution, in this second case, is achieved by distributing the budget in such a way that, on balance, the marginal variations of risk per monetary unit invested are equal for all sources of danger (or objects of risk). The solution found is perfectly rational. If it were not it would be possible to take a monetary unit allocated to a risk object and assign it to another which has the highest marginal reduction value, by which we would achieve a higher total of risk reduction. It would be profitable to carry out this reassignment of resources until we arrived at the equality (equation?) formulated previously.
When the aim is to reduce risk and, eventually, arrive at the optimum risk we have a collection of public policies. It is not the purpose of this article to carry out a detailed description and an evaluation of the effectiveness of these public policies. I will simply confine myself to enumerating them:
1. Direct regulation, establishing safety standards.
2. Giving responsibility to the individual and involving insurance companies.
3. Taxes on risk.
4. Subsidising risk reduction.
There is a fifth public policy, which is still far from ripe, which consists of delimiting a risk space or bubble, defining property rights (transferable risk permits), defining rules of market operations and leaving the market to regulate the transaction of transferable risk permits.

In Conclusion

In this article I have aimed to justify the increasing importance of risk in modern society by formulating a structural law of risk and observing whether reality gives us any clues which could confirm its validity. I have then given criteria (the cost-profit criterion and the cost-effectiveness criterion) which may guide public intervention, when the principle which guides their action is the creation of value in safety and this is measured in terms of its fulfilment of the efficiency objective. 
When for a specific population of sources of danger we are below the optimum risk -which is quite likely in most cases, the mere reduction of risk means the creation of value. 
If it is a question of distributing a series of resources amongst several sources of danger, or several populations of sources of danger, we have seen that it is the cost-effectiveness criterion that guides the decision if the aim is to achieve an objective of efficiency in the use of resources. However, it would also be possible to use other criteria, such as achieving a certain distribution of risks, personal or territorial. Consider that the origin of an action of this nature is not necessarily produced as a result of giving in to pressure from certain groups with vested interests (stakeholders), but it could be to neutralise not so much the risk «objective» of a population as its «perception of risk» with regard to specific sources of danger.
All this analysis has an identity of its own. However, I have considered it a partial analysis which has as a point of reference a social construct known as risk society, although the parameters which define this construct have a far wider social range. I would be more than satisfied if this partial analysis served to open a debate on the importance of risk in modern society and then another on whether or not under the umbrella of risk there is a strong theoretical category which enables us to postulate on the emergence of a new social form: risk society •

Notes
(1) BECK, U. La sociedad del riesgo. Ediciones Paidós Ibérica, 1998.
(2) BECK, U. op. cit.
(3) Free translation of the Spanish version
(4) MIR , N. Una introducción a l’economia del risc industrial. Edicions UPC, 1997
(5) ATTALI, Jacques. «Geopolítica de los riesgos en el siglo XXI». Gerencia de riesgos, n. 58, 1997.


Environmental Policy under Conditions of Complexity
S. Funtowicz
Joint Research Centre of European Commission, Ispra, (Italy)
J. Ravetz
RMC Ltd., London (England)

Environmental policies must manage a reality which is often defined in purely scientific terms, despite the fact that this reality is composed of uncertainties and human values which scientific analysis does not take into consideration. Normal science, therefore, comes up against serious difficulties when proposing solutions to the problems facing environmental policy. Is science useless? No, it is insufficient and, far from rejecting systematic scientific study, post-normal science is an aid to providing a new focus for problem solving strategies.

In relation to policy, «the environment» is particularly challenging. It includes masses of detail concerning many particular issues, which require separate analysis and management. At the same time, there are broad strategic issues, which should guide regulatory work, such as those connected with «sustainability». Nothing can be managed in a convenient isolation; issues are mutually implicated; problems extend across many scale levels of space and time; and uncertainties of all sorts and all degrees of severity affect data and theories alike.
This situation is a new one for policy makers. In one sense the environment is in the domain of Science: the phenomena of concern are located in the world of nature. Yet the tasks are totally different from those traditionally conceived for Western science. For that, it was a matter of conquest and control of Nature; now we must manage, accommodate and adjust. We know that we are no longer, and never really were, the «masters and possessors of Nature» that Descartes imagined for our role in the world (Descartes 1638).
To engage in these new tasks we need new intellectual tools. A picture of reality, which reduces complex phenomena to their simple, atomic elements, can be very effective for controlled experimentation and abstract theory building. But it is not best suited for the tasks of environmental policy today. The scientific mind-set fosters expectations of regularity, simplicity and certainty in the phenomena and in our interventions. But these can inhibit the growth of our understanding of the problems and of appropriate methods to their solution. Here we shall introduce and articulate several concepts, which can provide elements of a framework to understand environmental issues. They are all new, and still evolving. There is no orthodoxy concerning their content or the conditions of their application
The leading concept is «complexity». This relates to the structure and properties of the phenomena and the issues for environmental policy. Systems that are complex are not merely complicated; by their nature they involve deep uncertainties and a plurality of legitimate perspectives. Hence the methodologies of traditional laboratory-based science are of restricted effectiveness in this new context. 
The most general methodology for managing complex science-related issues is «Post-Normal Science» (Funtowicz and Ravetz 1993, 1997a). This focuses on aspects of problem solving that tend to be neglected in traditional accounts of scientific practice: uncertainty and value loading. It provides a coherent explanation of the need for greater participation in science-policy processes, based on the new tasks of quality assurance in these problem-areas. 

Complexity

Anyone trying to comprehend the problems of «the environment» might well be bewildered by their number, variety and complication. There is a natural temptation to try to reduce them to simpler, more manageable elements, as with mathematical models and computer simulations. This, after all, has been the successful programme of Western science and technology up to now. But environmental problems have features, which prevent reductionist approaches from having any, but the most limited useful effect. These are what we mean when we use the term «complexity».
Complexity is a property of certain sorts of systems; it distinguishes them from those, which are simple, or merely complicated. Simple systems can be captured (in theory or in practice) by a deterministic, linear causal analysis. Such are the classic scientific explanations, notably those of high-prestige fields like mathematical physics. Sometimes such a system requires more variables for its explanation or control than can be neatly managed in its theory. Then the task is accomplished by other methods; and the system is «complicated». The distinction between science and engineering, the latter occurring when more than a half-dozen variables are in play, is a good example of the distinction between simple and complicated systems. 
With true complexity, we are dealing with phenomena of a different sort. There are many definitions of complexity, all overlapping, deriving from the various areas of scientific practice with, for example, ecological systems, organisms, social institutions, or the «artificial» simulations of any of them. Here we adopt a more general approach to the concept. First, we think of a «system», a collection of elements and subsystems, defined by their relations within some sort of hierarchy or hierarchies. The hierarchy may be one of inclusion and scale, as in an ecosystem with (say) a pond, its stream, the watershed, and the region, at ascending levels. Or it may be a hierarchy of function, as in an organism and its separate organs. A species and its individual members form a system with hierarchies of both inclusion and function. Environmental systems may also include human and institutional sub-systems, which are themselves systems. These latter are a very special sort of system, which we call «reflexive». In those, the elements have purposes of their own, which they may attempt to achieve independently of, or even in opposition to, their assigned functions in the hierarchy (Funtowicz and Ravetz 1997b). 
First, any «system» is itself an intellectual construct, that some humans have imposed on a set of phenomena and their explanations. Sometimes it is convenient to leave the observer out of the system; but in the cases of systems with human and institutional components, this is counterproductive. For environmental systems, then, the observer and analyst are there, as embedded in their own systems, variously social, geographical and cognitive. For policy purposes, a very basic property of observed and analysed complex systems might be called «feeling the elephant», after the Indian fable of the five blind men trying to guess the object they were touching by feeling the leg of an elephant. Each conceived the object after his own partial imaging process; it was left to an outsider observer to visualise the whole elephant. This parable reminds us that every observer and analyst of a complex system operates with certain criteria of selection of phenomena, at a certain scale-level, and with certain built-in values and commitments. The result of their separate observations and analyses are not at all «purely subjective» or arbitrary; but none of them singly can encompass the whole system. Looking at the process as a whole, we may ask whether an awareness of their limitations is built into their personal systematic understanding, or whether it is excluded. In the absence of such awareness, we have old-fashioned technical expertise; when analysis is enriched by its presence, we have Post-Normal Science.
We can express the point in a somewhat more systematic fashion, in terms of two key properties of complex systems. One is the presence of significant and irreducible uncertainties of various sorts in any analysis; and the other is a multiplicity of legitimate perspectives on any problem. For the uncertainty, we have a sort of «Heisenberg effect», where the acts of observation and analysis become part of the activity of the system under study, and so influence it in various ways. This is well known in reflexive social systems, through the phenomena of «moral hazard», self-fulfilling prophecies and mass panic. 
But there is another cause of uncertainty, more characteristic of complex systems. This derives from the fact that any analysis (and indeed any observation) must deal with an artificial, usually truncated system. The concepts in whose terms existing data is organised will only accidentally coincide with the boundaries and structures that are relevant to a given policy issue. Thus, social and environmental statistics are usually available (if at all) in aggregations created by governments with other problems in mind; they need interpreting or massaging to make them relevant to the problem at hand. Along with their obvious, technical uncertainties resulting from the operations of data collection and aggregation, the data will have deeper, structural uncertainties, not amenable to quantitative analysis, which may actually be decisive for the quality of the information being presented. 
A similar analysis yields the conclusion that there is no unique, privileged perspective on the system. The criteria for selection of data, truncation of models, and formation of theoretical constructs are value-laden, and the values are those embodied in the societal or institutional system in which the science is being done. This is not a proclamation of «relativism» or anarchy. Rather, it is a reminder that the decision process on environmental policies must include dialogue among those who have an interest in the issue and a commitment to its solution. It also suggests that the process towards a decision may be as important as the details of the decision that is finally achieved.
For an example of this plurality of perspectives, we may imagine a group of people gazing at a hillside. One of them «sees» a particular sort of forest, another an archaeological site; another a potential suburb, yet another sees a planning problem. Each uses their training to evaluate what they see, in relation to their tasks. Their perceptions are conditioned by a variety of structures, cognitive and institutional, with both explicit and tacit elements. In a policy process, their separate visions may well come into conflict, and some stakeholders may even deny the legitimacy of the commitments and the validity of the perceptions of others. Each perceives his or her own elephant, as it were. The task of the facilitator is to see those partial systems from a broader perspective, and to find or create some overlap among them all, so that there can be agreement or at least acquiescence in a policy. For those who have this integrating task, it helps to understand that this diversity and possible conflict is not an unfortunate accident that could be eliminated by better natural or social science. It is inherent to the character of the complex system that is realised in that particular hillside.
These two key properties of complex systems, radical uncertainty and plurality of legitimate perspectives, help to define the programme. They show why environmental policy can not be shaped around the idealised linear path of the gathering and then the application of scientific knowledge. Rather, policy formation is itself embedded as a subsystem in the total complex system of which its environmental problem is another part. 

Post-Normal Science as a bridge between complex systems and environmental policy

The idea of a science being somehow «post-normal» conveys an air of paradox and perhaps mystery. By «normality» we mean two things. One is the picture of research science as «normally» consisting of puzzle solving within an unquestioned and unquestionable «paradigm», in the theory of T.S. Kuhn (Kuhn 1962). Another is the assumption that the policy environment is still «normal», in that such routine puzzle solving by experts provides an adequate knowledge base for policy decisions. Of course researchers and experts must do routine work on small-scale problems; the question is how the framework is set, by whom, and with whose awareness of the process. In «normality», either science or policy, the process is managed largely implicitly, and is accepted unwittingly by all who wish to join in. The great lesson of recent years is that that assumption no longer holds. We may call it a «post-modern» «rejection of grand narratives», or a green, NIMBY (Not In My Back Yard) politics. Whatever its causes, we can no longer assume the presence of this sort of «normality» of the policy process, particularly in relation to the environment.
The insight leading to Post-Normal Science is that in the sorts of issue-driven science relating to environmental debates, typically facts are uncertain, values in dispute, stakes high, and decisions urgent. Some might say that such problems should not be called «science»; but the answer could be that such problems are everywhere, and when science is (as it must be) applied to them, the conditions are anything but «normal». For the previous distinction between «hard», objective scientific facts and «soft», subjective value-judgements is now inverted. All too often, we must make hard policy decisions where our only scientific inputs are irremediably soft. 
The difference between old and new conditions can be shown by the present difficulties of the classical economics approach to environmental policy. Traditionally, economics attempted to show how social goals could be best achieved by means of mechanisms operating automatically, in an essentially simple system. The «hidden hand» metaphor of Adam Smith conveyed the idea that conscious interference in the workings of the economic system would do no good and much harm; and this view has persisted from then to now. But for the achievement of sustainability, automatic mechanisms are clearly insufficient. Even when pricing rather than control is used for implementation of economic policies, the prices must be set, consciously, by some agency; and this is then a highly visible controlling hand. When externalities are uncertain and irreversible, then there cannot be «ecologically correct prices» practised in actual markets (with «adequate» property rights structures) or in fictitious markets (through contingent valuation or other economic techniques). There might at best be «ecologically corrected prices», set by a decision-making system. The hypotheses, theories, visions and prejudices of the policy-setting agents are then in play, sometimes quite publicly so. And the public also sees contrasting and conflicting visions among those in the policy arena, all of which are plausible and none of which admits of refutation by any other. This is a social system, which, in the terms discussed above, is truly complex, indeed reflexively complex.

The Quality Principle

In such contexts of complexity, there is a new role for natural science. The facts that are taught from textbooks in institutions are still necessary, but are no longer sufficient. For these relate to a standardised version of the natural world, frequently to the artificially pure and stable conditions of a laboratory experiment. The world as we interact with it in working for sustainability, is quite different. Those who have become accredited experts through a course of academic study, have much valuable knowledge in relation to these practical problems. But they may also need to recover from the mindset they might absorb unconsciously from their instruction. Contrary to the impression conveyed by textbooks, most problems in practice have more than one plausible answer; and many have no answer at all.
Further, in the artificial world studied in academic courses, it is strictly inconceivable that problems could be tackled and solved except by deploying the accredited expertise. Systems of management of environmental problems that do not involve science, and which cannot be immediately explained on scientific principles, are commonly dismissed as the products of blind tradition or chance. And when persons with no formal qualifications attempt to participate in the processes of innovation, evaluation or decision, their efforts are viewed with scorn or suspicion. Such attitudes do not arise from malevolence; they are inevitable products of a scientific training which presupposes and then indoctrinates the assumption that all problems are simple and scientific, to be solved on the analogy of the textbook.
It is when the textbook analogy fails, that science in the policy context must become post-normal. When facts are uncertain, values in dispute, stakes high, and decisions urgent the traditional guiding principle of research science, the goal of achievement of truth or at least of factual knowledge, must be substantially modified. In post-normal conditions, such products may be a luxury, indeed an irrelevance. Here, the guiding principle is a more robust one, that of quality. 
It could well be argued that quality has always been the effective principle in practical research science, but it was largely ignored by the dominant philosophy and ideology of science. For post-normal science, quality becomes crucial, and quality refers to process even more than to product. It is increasingly realised in policy circles that in complex environment issues, lacking neat solutions and requiring support from all stakeholders, the quality of the decision-making process is absolutely critical for the achievement of an effective product in the decision. This new understanding applies to the scientific aspect of decision-making as much as to any other.

Science with values

Post-Normal Science can be located in relation to the more traditional complementary strategies, by means of a diagram (see Figure 1). On it, we see two axes, «systems uncertainties» and «decision stakes». When both are small, we are in the realm of «normal», safe science, where expertise is fully effective. When either is medium, then the application of routine techniques is not enough; skill, judgement, sometimes even courage are required. We call this «professional consultancy», with the examples of the surgeon or the senior engineer in mind. Our modern society has depended on armies of «applied scientists» pushing forward the frontiers of knowledge and technique, with the professionals performing an aristocratic role, either as innovators or as guardians.
Of course there have always been problems that science could not solve; indeed, the great achievement of our civilisation has been to tame nature in so many ways, so that for unprecedented numbers of people, life is more safe, convenient and comfortable than could ever have been imagined in earlier times. But now we are finding that the conquest of nature is not complete. As we confront nature in its reactive state, we find extreme uncertainties in our understanding of its complex systems, uncertainties that will not be resolved by mere growth in our data-bases or computing power. And since we are all involved with managing the natural world to our personal and sectional advantage, any policy for change is bound to affect our interests. Hence in any problem-solving strategy, the decision-stakes of the various stakeholders must also be reckoned with.
This is why the diagram has two dimensions; this is an innovation for descriptions of «science», which had traditionally been assumed to be «value-free». But in any real problem of environmental management, the two dimensions are inseparable. When conclusions are not completely determined by the scientific facts, inferences will (naturally and legitimately) be conditioned by the values held by the agent. This is a necessary part of ordinary research practice; all statistical tests have values built in through the choice of numerical «confidence limits», and the management of «outlier» data calls for judgements that can sometimes approach the post-normal in their complexity. If the stakes are very high (as when an institution is seriously threatened by a policy) then a defensive policy will involve challenging every step of a scientific argument, even if the systems uncertainties are actually small. Such tactics become wrong only when they are conducted covertly, as by scientists who present themselves as impartial judges when they are actually committed advocates. There are now many initiatives, increasing in number and significance all the time, for involving wider circles of people in decision-making and implementation on environmental issues. 
The contribution of all the stakeholders in cases of Post-Normal Science is not merely a matter of broader democratic participation. For these new problems are in many ways different from those of research science, professional practice, or industrial development. Each of those has its means for quality assurance of the products of the work, be they peer review, professional associations, or the market. For these new problems, quality depends on open dialogue between all those affected. This we call an «extended peer community», consisting not merely of persons with some form or other of institutional accreditation, but rather of all those with a desire to participate in the resolution of the issue. Seen out of context, such a proposal might seem to involve a dilution of the authority of science, and its dragging into the arena of politics. But we are here not talking about the traditional areas of research and industrial development; but about those where issues of quality are crucial, and traditional mechanisms of quality assurance are patently inadequate. Since this context of science is one involving policy, we might see this extension of peer communities as analogous to earlier extensions of franchise in other fields, as allowing workers to form trade unions and women to vote. In all such cases, there were prophecies of doom, which were not realised.
For the formation of environmental policy under conditions of complexity, it is hard to imagine any viable alternative to extended peer communities. They are already being created, in increasing numbers, either when the authorities cannot see a way forward, or know that without a broad base of consensus, no policies can succeed. They are called «citizens' juries», «focus groups», or «consensus conferences», or any one of a great variety of names; and their forms and powers are correspondingly varied. But they all have one important element in common: they assess the quality of policy proposals, including a scientific element, on the basis of whatever science they can master during the preparation period. And their verdicts all have some degree of moral force and hence political influence.

Real solutions to real problems

Along with this regulatory, evaluative function of extended peer communities, another, more intimately involved in the policy process, is springing up. Particularly at the local level, the discovery is being made, again and again, that people not only care about their environment but also can become ingenious and creative in finding practical, partly technological, ways towards its improvement. Here the quality is not merely in the verification, but also in the creation; as local people can imagine solutions and reformulate problems in ways that the accredited experts, with the best will in the world, do not find natural.
None can claim that the restoration of quality through extended peer communities will occur easily, and without its own sorts of errors. But in the processes of extension of peer communities through the approach of Post-Normal Science, we can see a way forward, for science as much as for the complex problems of the environment.
A sort of manual for Post-Normal Science practice has recently been produced by the UK Royal Commission on Environmental Pollution. In its 21st Report, on Setting Environmental Standards, makes a number of observations and recommendations reflecting this new understanding. Thus, on uncertainty, we have:
9.49: No satisfactory way has been devised of measuring risk to the natural environment, even in principle, let alone defining what scale of risk should be regarded as tolerable;
on values:
9.74: When environmental standards are set or other judgements made about environmental issues, decisions must be informed by an understanding of peoples’ values. ...;
and on extended peer communities:
9.74: (continued): Traditional forms of consultation, while they have provided useful insights, are not an adequate method of articulating values; 
and on a plurality of legitimate perspectives:
9.76: A more rigorous and wide-ranging exploration of people’s values requires discussion and debate to allow a range of viewpoints and perspectives to be considered, and individual values developed.
(UK Royal Commission on Environmental Pollution1998) Chapter 9 - Conclusions].

Conclusion

The inadequacies of the traditional «normal science» approach have been revealed with dramatic clarity in the episode of «mad cow» disease. For years the accredited researchers and advisors assured the British government that the risk of transfer of the infective agent to humans was almost not existent. They did not stress the decision-stakes involved in the official policy in which public alarm and government expense were the main perceived dangers. Then infection of humans was confirmed, and for a brief period the government admitted that an epidemic of degenerative disease was a «non-quantifiable risk». The situation went out of control, and the revulsion of consumers threatened not only British beef, but also perhaps the entire European meat industry. At this stage there had to be a «hard» decision to be taken, on the number of cattle to be destroyed, whose basis was a very «soft» estimate of how many cattle deaths would be needed to reassure the meat-eating public. At the same time, independent critics who had been dealt with quite harshly in the past were admitted into the dialogue. Without in any way desiring such an outcome, the British Ministry of Agriculture, Forests and Fisheries created a situation of extreme systems uncertainty, unknown decision stakes, and a legitimated extended peer community. 
The Post-Normal Science approach needs not be interpreted as an attack on the accredited experts, but rather as assistance. The world of «normal science» in which they were trained has its place in any scientific study of the environment, but it needs to be supplemented by awareness of the «post-normal» nature of the problems we now confront. The management of complex natural systems as if they were simple scientific exercises has brought us to our present mixture of triumph and peril. We are now witnessing the emergence of a new approach to problem-solving strategies in which the role of science, still essential, is now appreciated in its full context of the uncertainties of natural systems and the relevance of human values •

References
• DESCARTES. Discours de la Methode, Part VI. 1638.
• FUNTOWICZ, S. O.; RAVETZ, J. R. «Science for the post-normal age», Futures, 25:7(1993), p. 739-755.
• FUNTOWICZ, S. O.; RAVETZ, J. R. «Problemas ambientales, ciencia post-normal y comunidades de evaluadores extendidas». Ciencia, tecnología y sociedad. Barcelona: Marta I. González García, José A. López Cerezo and José Luís Luján (ed.), Ariel, 1997a, p. 151-161.
• FUNTOWICZ, S. O.; RAVETZ, J. R. «The Poetry of Thermodynamics», Futures, 29:9 (1997b), p. 791-810.
• KUHN, T. S. The Structure of the Scientific Revolutions, Chicago: University of Chicago Press IL., 1962.
• UK Royal Commission on Environmental Pollution. Setting Environmental Standards, 21st Report, Chapter 9 - Conclusions [http://www.rcep.org.uk/].


Ulrich Beck and the social dimensions of risk
Josep Espluga
Sociologist, lecturer of Environmental Sociology at the Autonomous University of Barcelona

The German sociologist, Ulrich Beck, is responsible for the concept of the risk society, which attempts to describe the new modernity, i.e., the social structure in transformation which characterises late capitalism. In this «reflexive modernity», risk is a social construct and not a probability which can be made clearly objective. Despite the potential of many of his ideas, the universality which Beck associates with many contemporary risks reflects the ethnocentric nature of his proposal. 

In certain passages of his curious ethnography Innocent Anthropologist, Nigel Barley refers to the relationship that the Doyayo –a small tribe from Cameroon– have with the environment they live in and from where they obtain their basic resources. One of the most shocking excerpts from the point of view of a reasonably well-educated westerner is the following:
As far as «living in harmony with nature» is concerned, the Doyayo had a long way to go. I was frequently reproached for not having brought a machine gun from the white man’s land so that they could wipe out the pathetic herds of antelope which still exist in their territory. When the Doyayo began to grow cotton for the state monopoly, they were given large amounts of pesticides which they immediately proceeded to use for fishing. They threw them into the rivers and then collected the poisoned fish which floated to the surface. This poison quickly replaced the tree bark they had used traditionally to smother the fish. «It’s marvellous –they explained. You throw it in and it kills everything, small fish and big fish, for kilometres downstream». (Barley, 1996:122) 
One must add that, obviously, the dead fish were later cooked and eaten by members of the village, and that several experts had warned them of the dangers of eating poisoned fish, but the Doyayo took absolutely no notice of this information which in their social and cultural system has little significance. A similar attitude is to be found amongst the inhabitants of Belorussia, who go out en masse every autumn to collect wild mushrooms in woods which were seriously affected by radiation from Chernobyl, even though they know full well (thanks to intense information campaigns) that mushrooms in particular accumulate high doses of radiation. From our western rationality and scale of values one could consider Professor Barley’s Doyayo to be behaving in a way which is extremely damaging to their health and the environment they live in. But it appears they do it without many precautions or remorse, or any sense of responsibility, which makes you think a little about the concept of risk. Don’t the Doyayo see the danger? Are they irrational maybe? Is it just a question of ignorance on their part? Does a European scientist have more chance to act in a more wholesome way than a Doyayo? Can we reduce all the risks that affect our health? Who is responsible for risks? Are we willing to take any kind of measures to avoid risks? 

Risk as an emergent concept

The increase and broadcast of the awareness of risk in our society is, in a way, paradoxical, if you consider that at the same time as technological development increases and the objective probabilities of dying (or coming to harm) decrease, the fears and anxieties of many citizens increase. It is surprising how awareness of vague risk has increased. More and more risk factors are identified every day in the environment we live in, in the food we eat, in the tools we use, in the space we move in etc.. The explanation of this apparent paradox has many facets. Amongst the main aspects we can mention the uncertainty science faces when controlling the effects of particular technologies (genetic, chemical, nuclear, etc.) and greater awareness of risk amongst the population thanks to greater information in society about risks (one must emphasise how information creates topics of conversation in a media society such as exists today). We can also mention the ever more socially widespread evidence of the side effects of the modernisation process (which constitute risks which are not distributed homogeneously throughout society, but rather unequally both synchronically and diachronically, amongst future generations).
All together this makes for a new insurgent risk culture which makes risk management and its political use difficult within the framework of the classical institutions of industrial society, with the burden of the introduction of future generations as a subject of reference. What are suitable criteria for identifying or defining risks? How much security can be considered reasonably secure? Should a uniform set of criteria be adopted to manage all kinds of risk? Who decides on such criteria? Who is to be held responsible if the criteria prove unsuitable? These and other similar issues are at the heart of the debate on risk, and lead one to suspect that obvious risk does not exist, nor is its distribution homogeneous, which means that such oft repeated questions as «who’s paying for this?» become very problematical and even useless for risk management.

Several approaches to the concept of risk

Despite the usefulness and centrality of the concept of risk, its use is usually accompanied by notably imprecise definition and concept in many of the disciplines which use it (although mathematicians and economists use it fairly accurately, most social sciences do not). It is possible to single out two great epistemological lines with regard to the conceptualisation of technological risk, from the most «realistic» positions to the most «hermeneutic»:
On the one hand there are the statistical-probabilistic definitions based on scientific-technical criteria in the positivist sense, of a quantitative nature, where risk is an objective property of an event or activity, and can be measured probabilistically to calculate its adverse effects. The origin of this definition can be found in Engineering, Statistics, Physics or Chemistry. From this point of view risk has its reference in expected damages or losses and can be reduced to a numerical value. With regard to its consequences it is characterised by being a one-dimensional concept which considers only one dimension of consequences: physical/biological damage. This sole dimension is moreover considered universal, that is, relevant in any place or at any moment (hence its practical usefulness). Through calculating the odds and the extent of the damage it is possible to draw up an averaged numerical estimate of time and/or space, comparable to pre-established evaluation criteria, and which allows decisions to be made. All studies in toxicology, epidemiology, probabilism, system failure trees, etc. analyse risk from this perspective. Economics and rational decision theories also subscribe in part to this point of view, with a concept of one-dimensional risk but this time based on expected losses, rather than physical damage, within a cost-profit transaction.
On the other hand, as well as the strictest (and most restrictive) definitions of the Biological Sciences and some positive social sciences such as Economics, risk is considered from the viewpoints of some Social Sciences to be a socio-cultural product, so that the definition of risk is itself considered to be historically and culturally variable and is based on social conventions. In this respect, the definition of risk can be approached from a more hermeneutic or interpretative viewpoint, referring to everything most closely linked to its meaning, to personal, social and cultural aspects. Generally speaking, risk can be conceived as the evaluation of the possibility of an adverse effect as the consequence of a danger (Puy). The multidimensional character of risk is emphasised, in the sense that, as well as the numerical dimension of quantifiable probability and loss, it brings with it another series of qualitative aspects that people take into account when judging or evaluating a risk: such as the degree of willingness in running it, the immediacy or delay of its effects, the credibility of the institutions managing it, etc. From the social sciences it is not easy to consider risk as an objective, one-dimensional concept, as the same risk takes on different meanings for different people or contexts at different times. From this point of view risk is more a social construct. Cases such as health hazards, inequality, feelings of injustice, coercive control, and other factors which cannot be determined through objective scientific analysis, are reconstructed through the beliefs and rationales of the various social agents. The definition and construction of a risk reflect the interests of each group or institution involved in the process. From this viewpoint, risk policies turn out to be a constant struggle for all those involved to put their own definition of risk on the public agenda and impose it on others.
In this respect, technical analyses of risk are not necessarily above other risk constructions, as they are also based on conventions of groups (of experts), specific elite interests and values and implied opinions. The real consequences of risks are always affected by social interpretations, and are always tied to group values and interests.
Barley’s Doyayo can illustrate cases where the identification and interpretation of some risk factors depend on beliefs belonging to each social group, which associates them to the possibility of occurrence of specific damage of greater or lesser extent. For example, in Barley’s words:
The Doyayo were surprised that I was so afraid of snakes and scorpions, but avoided running over those most horrible of birds, owls. Once they saw me pick up a chameleon, whose bite they believed to be fatal, to put it up in a tree after some children had been tormenting it. That to them was madness. But the most useful of my follies was my willingness to touch an anteater’s claws; the Doyayo won’t go near them, so as not to risk having a permanently flaccid penis. If you stick them in the fruit of the baobab tree and say the name of the victim the claws can be used to kill a man; when the fruit falls, the person will die. The Doyayo who had killed an anteater summoned me publicly and offered me the claws as a sign of goodwill towards their neighbours. I then had to take them out into the country and bury them far from frequented places. This job of cosmological pollution controller I did was greatly appreciated. (Barley, 1996:165) 
In our society, the institutions in charge of risk management often carry out objective technical analyses, but this alone does not guarantee control of the social response, which means risk management can be extremely difficult.

Elements common to the different viewpoints
The different conceptions of risk share, at least, three considerations:
1) The distinction between reality and possibility. If the future were considered either predetermined or independent of human activities in the present, the term risk would make no sense (Renn). If a person’s fate were predetermined there would be no need to anticipate future results, beyond mere curiosity, as all in all the consequences would be unavoidable. If you accept the distinction between reality and possibility, the term risk denotes the possibility that an undesirable state of reality could come about as a result of natural events or human activity. In accordance with this approach, risk is a descriptive and normative concept, as it enables us to establish a model in which human beings can make connections which are more or less causal between actions and their effects, and moreover makes one suppose that the undesirable effects (damage) can be eliminated or alleviated if the events or actions which cause them are avoided or modified. Thinking about what constitutes a risk and what its consequences might be, leads us to identify factors, dangers, a population exposed to it, institutions responsible for guaranteeing safety, and, in addition, to establish parameters which dictate what has to be done (or, more often than not, what should not be done). Normally, supposing the possibility of a risk in a population implies a demand to reduce or eliminate it. In this way, a (political) decision-making process takes place around the risk with, at least, three types of subject: those responsible for generating the risk, public administrators and citizens.
2) The other idea underlying all study perspectives is that the presence of risk brings with it the possibility of losses or damage. Losses (or damage) are deemed the consequences of risk. To define or evaluate a risk the first thing you have to do is decide which are the possible areas of consequence to be considered. As we mentioned before, different types of study have determined various dimensions such as physical and biological damage, individuals’ psychological well-being, impact on the environment, economic impact, etc. Risk is not one magnitude, but each of these dimensions supposes different consequences, which frequently are not commensurable or aggregable.
On the other hand, it is obvious that not everybody perceives reality in the same way, and there are substantial differences in the meaning things take on for some people and others, according to their character, their experience, their social environment and the local context of interaction in which the perception or the action takes place, amongst other possible factors. The most remarkable differences, or those which have received most attention from scholars of the matter in hand, are the differences between experts and laymen (Wynne). The criteria followed by the public to estimate the seriousness or significance of a possible loss not only relates to biological dimensions (such as mortality or morbility), but also to other psychological, social and cultural, dimensions some of which have much to do with their ethical and moral convictions about justice and the type of society they wish to live in (Douglas). Thus, it is possible that the horror of a catastrophe not only depends on the number of victims (which is the gauge most used traditionally), but also on the violation of some sense of justice that people share (aspects of a nature which is intangible and variable in time), etc. Moreover, one must take into account that different social groups affected or involved to varying degrees by the risk may evaluate its significance differently, and it is a political matter to decide which group takes precedence.
3) What is more, the different viewpoints of risk are riddled with an uncertainty intrinsic to them (Puy), to the point where the concept of risk itself is likened to that of uncertainty. This uncertainty appears when trying to establish, for example, to what extent people prefer or reject risk over security. Moreover, there is uncertainty regarding the scope or extent of losses, which leads us to assume that the greater this uncertainty the greater the risk will be (this uncertainty affects the analyses of laymen and experts alike). One can also speak of uncertainty to refer to the level (extent) of the losses which may occur, as even though you know which areas may be affected, there is still uncertainty as to the chances of such losses occurring or not (the greater the chance, the greater the risk).
Many studies of risks, especially of the statistical-probabilistic viewpoint, only consider uncertainty in the sense of the probability of physical-biological losses, but not in the other contexts we have mentioned (perception of risk, individuals’ psychological well-being, financial costs and profits, ignorance and fear, feeling of injustice, etc.). Some experiences of disaster show that in reality the scale of damage is far more extensive, and with repercussions that intentionally realistic or objective analyses cannot grasp. In a way which is very simple but illustrative, V. Amato (1995) compares the consequences of a risk to the effect of the ripples produced when a stone is thrown into a lake, which as they expand affect first of all the victims directly involved, the company responsible, then other companies will be affected and finally other industrial sectors. Here we could add the damage to the image of these companies, damage to the political system that was supposed to guarantee the citizens’ rights, etc. A real case which was widely reported was the incident in 1979 at the nuclear power plant on Three Mile Island, where it was shown that the number of dead and wounded and the damage to property were only a small part of the total losses. In this case there were no deaths or excessive worry over potential posterior illnesses, but it did cause important social damage: the company in charge of administering the facility folded, and the cost to the nuclear industry and society in general was astronomical in tougher regulations of the sector, the operating capacity of reactors was reduced on a world-wide scale, and it generated fierce opposition to nuclear energy on the part of international public opinion. This opposition has even extended to other technologies, such as the chemical industry or genetic engineering, which arouse mistrust and poor credibility in certain sectors of society. 
If you accept that risk is multidimensional, trying to express the overall idea through a number does not enable us to give a satisfactory explanation of the social actions, individual or collective, related to it. From this point of view, quantifying analysis proves too rigid and reductionist to give account of the social phenomena surrounding experiences of risk.

Some notes on the analysis of contemporary society

One might think that we live in curious or exceptional times where things change very quickly, and perhaps we are in an historical moment of transition. But the history of mankind has probably never been anything other than a transition process, of continual random change, so our times are no more exceptional than any other prior or future periods. However, we today live and feel with more or less unease, and often need to draw up a plan to help us know where we are and explain certain phenomena which affect us and shake the foundations of our existence, which erode our convictions, our confidence or the way we are or behave. Social researchers normally accept the hypothesis that our modern mania for explaining society stems from the European Industrial Revolution in the 19th century, a period in which drastic changes were evident in lifestyles, institutions, political systems or social and cultural values. Industrial society brought with it a whole series of social problems (an increase in inequality, urban populations with unsanitary conditions, uprooting, industrial accidents, etc.) but at the same time a chance for freedom, to generate collective actions aimed at contesting the power of traditionally powerful groups in order to achieve a new society. Thus, the 19th century saw the birth of a string of utopias sheltered by technical and scientific progress, which proposed a rationally better world as an alternative to middle-class industrial society. In that context everything seemed to indicate that scientific reason was a suitable basis for generating valid knowledge of reality, and fomenting decision-making on matters which affect the whole of society. Technical knowledge would allow some control over the conditions which rule human life, and would free us from nature’s traditional constrictions. For many decades this has been society’s image of science and technology, as legitimating petitions for an idea of unlimited progress and for control and domination of all types of resources. 
At the end of the 20th century some of these premises are no longer in such evidence. Increasingly, social conflicts arise from problems derived from technological progress itself and the unpredictable nature of many of the complex phenomena which affect the current social order. We are starting to think that the plan that made sense of industrial society is not as useful as it might be, so that new forms of analysis and explanation of society appear. This is where we can place Ulrich Beck’s work, as one scholar proposing a suggestive framework for analysis through what he terms Risk Society.

Towards Risk Society
Ulrich Beck shares the hypothesis that the process of modernisation is seriously eroding industrial society and seems to be giving way to new social configurations (in spite of everything, within a capitalist system in transformation). Beck lists a series of developments which indicate this: the increasing importance of new social relations which go beyond what is the strictly class-based society, such as new citizens’ movements (ecologism, pacifism, feminism, etc.), new poverty, nationalism, fundamentalism, etc.; he also observes the redefining of the role of the nuclear family; the change in the limits between work and non-work, the new relationships between producers and consumers, the consolidation of a structural employment condition; it is also evident that science is losing its neutral image and is faced with a methodical doubt, as much for the object of the study as for the social effects of applying it; and all in all you end up having real problems keeping certain promises essential to the modern project (freedom, non-formal democracy, etc.).
In this context Beck postulates the concept of Risk Society, defined as a stage of modern society in which the production of political, ecological and individual risks is –more and more– beyond the control of the institutions in charge of guaranteeing the safety of society. The political decision-making institutions continue to assume that natural and social reality can be controlled by technology, at the same time as they consider that it is allowed to tolerate residual levels of risk which are more or less provisional. But it is becoming increasingly obvious that the citizens are starting to get a different picture of the risks to which they feel exposed, which causes a loss if legitimacy for the institutions responsible for controlling them. Some citizens’ groups and areas of public opinion are expressing a growing concern and mistrust of institutions, as they perceive them to be the source of the production and legitimisation of uncontrollable dangers, based on rigid relations of property and power. This stage of the advent of Risk Society becomes evident in western countries from the mid-nineteen-eighties onwards. In the risk society the objectives are not so much to dominate nature or free man from traditional constraints, as, in addition (or on the other hand), to face the problems resulting from his own techno-economical development. In this sense some reflective elements are introduced. Now we speak of reflective modernisation. Beck understands reflective modernisation as a transformation of industrial society, which takes place without being planned, latently in the normal, autonomous course of modernisation, and which supposes a radicalisation of modernity, which dissociates industrial society from its profile and premises. If simple modernisation implies a dissolution and substitution of the conventions of traditional society by industrial ones (through a teleological rationality), the reflective modernisation conceptualised by Beck implies the dissolution and substitution of the conventions of industrial society by other types of social convention. But, according to Beck, this reflective modernisation does not necessarily tend towards self-destruction but towards self-transformation, and therefore may have a positive potential for the future of society.

Critical Reflexivity

The process of modernisation which took place in the industrial society was thought and justified as the key to globalisation, permanent expansion, and the fact that progress could turn against itself to the point of negating itself became unacceptable, or was simply irrelevant. But the expansion and widespread broadcast of scientific and technological knowledge has favoured in this society the capacity for self-confrontation and reflection critical of the consequences and risks the modernisation process brings with it. It is paradoxical that the depletion of resources and the foundations of industrial modernisation cannot be attributed to enemies outside the system which we could rise against, underlining a common identity, but must be attributed to internal agents, to the process of industrial modernisation itself. All in all it can be seen that in modern society the same indicators which can explain well-being, can also be used to explain losses and damage (or consequences of risk), which causes public unrest, anxiety, and a sort of consciousness of vague and permanent risk. One must add that for Beck in the risk society the distribution of benefits and risks is not equal, but there are some groups which always benefit and others which are always harmed. But the risks derived from the side-effects of development are of such a nature that their effects reach the whole of the population to a greater or lesser degree, so that, in Beck’s words, we are all exposed to it. Even future generations.
The risk society originates where systems of rules and social institutions fail to achieve the safety promised in the face of dangers unleashed by decision making. In an attempt to defend themselves and make this statement relative, those responsible for making the decisions tend to point out that lack of safety and threats are not a problem specific to current society but evident in all cultures and periods. In Beck’s opinion in this new modernity there is a specific, determining trait: the dangers and risks are the product of social decisions. That is, the dangers and risks cannot be attributed to nature, the gods, devils or other metaphysical instances, but rather depend on decisions made by various social institutions (public or private). The fact that the decisions give rise to lasting dangers (and also generate economic benefit) is of notable political significance: the guarantees of protections –safety– are publicly refuted, which often means that the legitimacy of the decision makers is called into question. The decisions are argued with promises of financial, technical and social usefulness, and are subjected to rules which must guarantee their control. It is frequently evident that established systems of government do not fulfil the demands of control, and what’s more, these aspects are usually left out of public debate. The existence of various different perceptions of the consequences and dangers can also be established. This makes it very difficult to establish and organise priorities. The contradiction between promises of rationality and control and the appearance of harmful effects, gives fresh impetus to the citizens’ demands (claims, civil movements, etc., against the coalitions of interests and institutionalised bureaucracies, often with repressive capacity).
To escape this chaos of doubt, the institutions responsible for guaranteeing security (which they need to legitimise them in their role) painstakingly seek a way to find objective reference criteria which could bring about a consensus of opinion amongst the different social agents. It must be pointed out that to do such a thing scientific discourse is a privileged instrument, especially knowledge gained from the more positivist disciplines. Risk analysis methods become essential tools for managing social conflicts resulting from technological facilities perceived as risk producers. But as we have stated above, it is not enough to evaluate the probabilities and extent of physical-biological damage, one must also be aware of dimensions of a psycho-social and cultural nature.

Some critical evaluations of Beck’s approach

Beck gives great importance to the risks of the industrial society and the risks of the new reflective society (ecological risks, risks derived from the latest technology and so on, which particularly worry people today), and implies that the most relevant differences are that the latter are not only linked to their place of origin, but also have global effects, and are therefore experienced with considerable anxiety, and on the other hand, they are the product of social decisions.
In the first place we should discuss how clear it is that current risks have global effects and produce universal instability, or at least that this instability or exposure to risks is perceived as such universally. That is, if we agree that the social response to risk depends on multiple dimensions which are not easily quantifiable and aggregable, that they depend on personal, social and cultural factors, which are different in each case, it is not so clear that that which some groups perceive as an obvious risk is seen as such by other social or cultural groups. If we follow the case of the Doyayo it is obvious that they see risks where we do not, and vice versa. To consider that the risks we perceive affect everyone is to forget or underestimate the psychological, social and cultural dimensions which make up the concept of risk.
M. Rustin’s criticism is interesting in this sense as it implies that intellectuals from the rich part of the world, like Beck, have concentrated their thoughts on the universality of risks because they are themselves reflectively included in their fields of action. And one might add that trying to apply one’s own scale of values to other social groups constitutes a type of ethnocentrism. 
In Beck’s work risks are presented as objective, as instances that the author implies should worry everyone, because even though we may not be aware of it, we are exposed in a «real» way. Beck’s risk society doesn’t seem to give enough importance to the thesis (which Beck himself points out) that the very existence of risks depends on the knowledge one has of them, that is, on the nature they «construct» (in the sense of Douglas and Wildawsky). From this point of view, the fact that a particular risk is provoked or not by human decisions becomes relative, as the meaning of risk itself, its perception and interpretation, as the constructed social reality it is, is not univocal. A risk that scientific experts objectively consider a product of nature, may be understood by other individuals to be related to human decisions, and vice versa.
Emphasising the socio-cultural dimension of risk avoids the ethnocentrism of thinking that risks generated by the development of modern society must necessarily be experienced as such by everyone everywhere. This means we cannot term as risky the behaviour or attitudes of people who do not share the same knowledge or values associated with a particular risk. The social actions put into practice by the different social agents in the face of risks will depend on how they have been categorised and what social and cultural significance they have for those groups. In this sense, it is perfectly understandable that owls are a risk factor for the Doyayo, whilst for us they are simply innocent birds – they are even nice. The same could be said, but the other way round, of pesticides.
Finally, the theory of the risk society explains the changes which came about on political-social agendas in late-capitalist society, but does not seem to go much beyond the suppositions of the post-industrialist theories of the seventies. In general it is a model which attempts to explain the changes in industrial society through factors of change which had not been planned, which cause important problems (externalities and side effects) which ended by changing the social structure. Even though the thinkers of the «classic» capitalist industrial society have taken into account the risks and undesirable effects caused by the capitalist system (Marx, Weber, etc.). 
From the view upheld here, it is argued that in contemporary society the industrial character has taken on new forms because of technological development, but the relationships of exploitation between possessors and the dispossessed still prevail in a way, and the capitalist workings have not ceased to function in a world colonised by the «market». What may have changed significantly is the way these inequalities are experienced, which in contemporary society do not determine so clearly the construction of people’s social identities as they supposedly did in the «classic» capitalist society. Beck refers to this phenomenon in terms of the individualisation of inequalities.
In general terms Beck’s idea of risk society and reflective modernisation comes from a suggestive model of social organisation, a project of deeper democratic practice, more than strictly a description of current society. His approach implies a marked democratisation of institutions, even science (whose authority so far had been taken for granted). This project demands the reconstruction of the institutions and their cultures, as in order to manage risk you must first restore trust. But perhaps Beck’s work’s greatest merit is that it constitutes a reasoned cry of alarm in the face of the outlook appearing on a not-too-distant horizon: a sort of scientific-bureaucratic-authoritarianism. 
"With the growth of danger completely new challenges for democracy emerge in the risk society. The risk society has a tendency towards «legitimate» totalitarianism in the defence against dangers, with the pretext of avoiding this hypothetical damage. The political «side effects « of the civilising side effects threaten the political-democratic system in its essence, which thus falls into the dilemma of either failing in the face of dangers which arise systematically, or abolishing the basic principles through authoritarian measures, typical of an autocratic state. Solving this dilemma is one of the essential tasks of democratic thinking and action in the future present of the risk society». (Beck, 1998: 88 )
It only remains to add that incorporating the social dimensions in the analysis and evaluation of technological and environmental risks is an important step to take in this direction •

Notes
1 Free translation of the Spanish version.

References
• AMATO, V. Rischio tecnologico, ambiente e territorio. Napoli: Edizione Scientifiche Italiane, 1995.
• BARLEY, N. El antropólogo inocente. Barcelona: Anagrama, 1996.
• BECK, U. La sociedad del riesgo. Barcelona: Paidós, 1998.
• BECK, U. Políticas ecológicas en la edad del riesgo. Barcelona: El Roure, 1998.
• DOUGLAS, M & WILDAWSKY, A. Risk and culture. Berkeley, Los Angeles, London: University of California Press, 1982.
• DOUGLAS, M & WILDAWSKY, A. La concepción del riesgo en las ciencias sociales. Barcelona: Paidós, 1996.
• GARCIA, E. El trampolí fàustic. Ciència, mite i poder en el desenvolupament sostenible. València: Germania, 1995.
• PUY, A. Percepción social de los riesgos. Madrid: Mapfre, 1995.
• RENN, O. «Concepts of Risk. A Classification». Social Theories of Risk. Krimsky, S & Golding, D. (ed.), Westport & London: Praeger, 1992.
• RUSTIN, M. «Risk and Trust: the significance of May 1st 1997», 25th Anniversary Conference of School of Social Sciences. Institute of Advanced Study, Princeton, NJ, 9-10 May 1997.


Insurance against environmental damage
José Luis de las Heras
Manager of the Environmental Risk Pool 

The conservation of environment is a communal right and, consequently, we are all obliged to preserve it. This idea is deeply rooted in society. This, environmental degradation raises liabilities upon the person causing it. The Ministry of Environment is now working on a Civil Liability Law with regard to activities which might affect the environment. The author analyses this norm from the insurance view. 

Environmental degradation places responsibilities on the person causing it: «He who pollutes, pays». It is the task of legislators, both in Spain and in other countries, to include the practical application of this principle in specific regulations and in doing so they come across difficulties which arise from the special nature of the environment as an object of protection, and the great awareness generated in society today by everything connected with the environment.
On the other hand, as all activity, and in particular all industry, creates environmental risk, there is widespread consensus of opinion on the part of businessmen and public opinion on the idea that insurance is an instrument that can guarantee that potentially pollutant activities should inspire in society a confidence which would make up for the risk they create. 
As insurance is a mechanism based on the possibility of preventing risks through their evaluation, for it to work well it is essential that the «rules of the game». In this case, regulations governing civil liability for damage to the environment, be clear and of foreseeable consequences, which on the other hand, constitutes an aspiration common to the chiefs of industries with the potential to cause environmental accidents –those who can be made answerable, and to those interested in the conservation, and where necessary restoration, of the environment, that is, the whole of society.
In this article we shall attempt to reflect the point of view of insurance, using a practical, constructive approach, of problems and possible solutions related to civil liability for damage to the environment and its insurance. 

Basic concepts of liability

As a starting point for the comments below, it is interesting to remember the following principles:
Liability is the burden which arises for he who fails to fulfil an obligation; it can consist of
a) A sanction.- Imposed by the competent Authority, with the aim that the person responsible does not break the law again; the sanction can be
• Criminal.- When it is imposed for breaking a criminal law, that is, for committing a crime or offence. It can only be imposed by criminal courts.
• Administrative.- When it is imposed for breaking other laws or regulations which entail administrative sanctions (fines, suspension, etc.)
b) Compensation or obligation to repair.- Demanded by the person or entity affected or damaged.
It is worth pointing out that Administrative or Criminal Liability is normally imposed for the law-breaking itself and does not set out to compensate for damages, although the sanction may be economic (fines), whereas Civil Liability is incurred for the damage or harm caused, independently of whether a law has been broken or not. 
For greater clarity, the field of action of each type of liability can be summarised in a table as follows (veure taula 1):
Consequently, the situations represented in the following tables may arise (veure taula2): 

When does civil liability exist?
There is a tendency which is becoming increasingly widespread, especially in the area of business liability, to apply objective criteria, that is, a company will be understood to have civil liability for damage caused in the following circumstances:
• Damage or injury to a third party has been caused.
• The damage is unjust, that is, the company had no right to cause it.
• There is a relationship of cause and effect between said damage and a deed attributable to the company considered.
To avoid incurring civil liability it is not enough to abide by the regulations governing the activity; risk situations must be avoided as far as possible, however slight the risk may be, maximising preventive measures, because the professional or employer causing the damage is usually declared liable. 

The regulation of environmental liabilities

Administrative and criminal liability. In Spanish state and autonomous legislation, an abundance of administrative obligations and liabilities have been established to protect the environment; all of them impose duties of prevention, organisation, information, or limitations of polluting activities and the corresponding sanctions for failure to comply.
On the other hand, the latest reviews of the Penal Code incorporate specific provisions for so-called ecological offences; a series of offences are described and the corresponding penalties for such offences are established. 

Civil liability. We could define this as the burden which arises for the person causing damage to another, consisting of repairing the damage or injuries caused. Damage can be caused without infringing a specific bye-law or as a consequence of unlawful conduct, for this reason, both administrative laws and the Penal Code establish that, if the offender has caused damage through his conduct, apart from the corresponding sanction, he will be subject to civil liability, that is, obliged to repair the damaged caused.
Said civil liability, however, has no specific control for damage to the environment, being subject to general bye-laws of the Civil Code and, if necessary, bye-laws concerning Civil liability for offence included in the Penal Code.

Is specific regulation of civil liability for damage to the environment necessary?

Judging by the rule-making carried out in the last few years by the legislators of several European countries and the European Union itself, the answer is yes.
On the other hand, they all agree that this legal tool is very useful; in a communiqué to the European Commission, on the presentation of the project called «White Book» in January 1997, the Commissioner for the Environment put forward the following arguments in favour of civil liability as a mechanism for protection of the environment:
• It allows the efficient implementation of the principle «He who pollutes, pays».
• It promotes compliance with environmental legislation.
• It encourages self-control on the part of financial agents, which redounds in better environmental management forecast of damage.
The Commissioner is likewise in favour of harmonising the above regime within the scope of the Union because:
• There are enough differences currently in existence between national regimes of environmental civil liability to create distortions in areas of responsibility.
• A harmonised regime can help reduce these differences and therefore the consequent distortions.
To what extent is current legislation in Spain inadequate to efficiently solve the problems posed by damage to the environment as an object of civil liability? 

Requirements for successful claim of civil liability, in Common Law
a) Causing of damage or injury, which must be quantifiable or estimable in some way.
b) Attribution of the damage to an act –or failure to act– to a liable individual (passive legitimisation); said act, according to the Civil Code, must be negligent.
c) Right of the claimant (active legitimisation). 
d) Making the claim within the appropriate period.
e) Capacity of the liable individual to repair the damage (solvency).
When applying these requirements to the field of the environment, we encounter the following drawbacks:
a) Most environmental damage cannot be valued in economic terms, as it is not replaceable or an object of appropriation. 
b) Frequently, environmental degradation is the result of an accumulation of acts by a number of agents, so it is difficult to attribute individual liability. The claimant’s obligation to prove that the person responsible for polluting the environment has done so through negligence is another frequently insurmountable obstacle. 
c) The environment in itself belongs to nobody, although the consequences of its degradation can be suffered by specific persons or entities, in their health or patrimony. We can therefore speak of primary or direct damage, (polluting the water of a river) and indirect or consequential damage (the loss of a crop which was watered with the now polluted water). The injured parties’ right to claim is restricted to injury to their person or damage to their property, so that the restoration of goods which have no owner (res nullius) cannot be required by anyone.
d) The period in which actions for non-contractual civil liability can be brought (limitation period) is, under Spanish Law, one year counting from when the injured party first had knowledge of the damage and was able to claim ; bearing in mind the slow evolution environmental damage undergoes on occasion, this period would appear to be excessively short .
e) It is sometimes technically impossible to repair certain natural elements; and very often so is replacing them with equivalents. 
On the other hand, for damage which has yet to be discovered, the limitation period does not begin to elapse, so that the causer of still-latent damage, could continue to be liable for an indefinite period, as there is no regulated period for expiry of his liability .
Consequently, the efforts of legislators to find specific formulae in this area seem justified. In Spain, as is well-known, the Ministry of the Environment has been working for over two years on a bill called the «Civil Liability for Damages Caused by Activities with Environmental Consequences Act»; below we will analyse, from an insurance point of view, to what extent and how well this bill covers the deficiencies of common legislation and what problems its application will foreseeably give rise to, and incorporating, in addition, some suggestions regarding those aspects we consider could be improved .
In this commentary we will make no judgement of a political or economic nature, but simply evaluate the bill in terms of the solutions it offers to the problems enumerated above and the foreseeable efficiency and security of its working.

The bill 

As has already been said, the law on civil liability for activity with environmental consequences can be considered necessary and positive in so far as it is directed at filling in the lacunae which exist in the applicability of current bye-laws to this matter. 
The substantial changes it introduces with respect to previous laws are, broadly speaking, the following:
1. It imposes express liability for the degradation of the environment and the consequent obligation to restore, even when the natural elements damaged are not the property of specified owners (Art. 1.2, c) and d).
2. Liability is objective, (art. 3.1), that is, the injured party does not need to prove that the causer of the damage has been negligent. 
3. The polluter may be declared liable for the damage even when the pollution (fumes, dumping, etc.) is below the maximum levels established by the Authorities, (Art. 4.3). 
4. When there are several causers of one type of damage, they will be jointly and severally liable (Art. 3.2).
5. Associations for the protection of the environment and public Authorities are lawfully entitled to demand the restoration of the environment. (Art. 5.2, b)
6. Activities subject to regulations are obliged to offer guarantees of compensation in order to be able to practice regulated activities. (Art. 14)
The new elements mentioned have a bearing on the drawbacks pointed out in the previous section, creating possibilities for claims which heretofore were not the subject of specific regulation and which refer to the concepts for which it is possible to claim, the people who may make the claims and the requirements for making them.
However, considering the enormous economic repercussions that claims based on this law can result in, it is desirable that it be drawn up in a clear way and that its mechanisms be efficacious and fair when attributing liability, otherwise there is a risk that it will constitute a source of disputes which will tax the administration of many enterprises uselessly, without redounding in a better protection of the environment. 
The experience of other countries, where two thirds of the financial resources earmarked originally for the restoration of the environment have been used up in litigation and expert appraisals, should serve as a stimulus to make a concerted effort to be creative when regulating this matter. 
The comments formulated below in relation to each of the points highlighted have the sole purpose of contributing in this respect.

Liability for degradation of the environment
The damage necessary to cause liability regulated by this law is divided into two different concepts: «damage» and «degradation of the environment». For the first to be contemplated by the law, it must have been produced «... through an element of the environment, where this transmits the effects of the harmful action».
The concept of «environment», therefore, could be the keystone of this law, as it is this which limits its scope of action, avoiding its invading areas already covered by other laws, or already adequately regulated or not appropriate to the issues governed here.
Indirectly, the law defines «environment» (Art. 1.2,c) incorporating a series of concepts, when it defines «degradation of the environment» as «all degradation of the environment which...is...occasioned by a modification of the physical, chemical or biological conditions, of the fauna, flora, earth, soil, air, water, landscape, artistic heritage and the structure and working of the ecosystems present in or related to the affected area» 
Although we have no objection to this definition, we must be aware that a multitude of human activities (private, industrial or other) have these very same effects, to a greater or lesser degree, effects which are anticipated and tolerated and given approval by the competent Authorities. Let us consider for example the impact on the environment a motorway has, or the building of an industrial plant, quite possibly the same one which, once it is working, will be subject to this law. 
It is therefore necessary to distinguish the cases of environmental degradation which will generate civil liability from those which society still accepts as inevitable or which it considers are outweighed by other welfare factors the implementation of which causes the damage. In order to do this we consider it necessary to describe in greater detail the different types of «damage or degradation» which would generate liability under this law. 
On the other hand, some concepts quoted in the definition as integral parts of the environment, have no chance, in practice, of being included as a direct object of action to repair the damage caused; these are, «the landscape,» and «the structure and working of the ecosystems present in or related to the affected area». Restoring the landscape or the ecosystems, were it at all possible, involves restoring the flora, soil, water or artistic heritage to the state they were in until the moment when they were destroyed or deteriorated. 
Below we propose a definition in place of sections b) and c) of article 1, a proposal which concurs with the different solutions for «payment», which we will comment on in the following section.
Under this Law two classes of damage are defined:
a) Degradation of natural elements: destruction or loss of quality or utility caused to the earth, water or air.
b) Damage which is a consequence of the degradation defined in section a). It is of three types: 
b.1) Personal damage: physical injury, illness, death, physical, psychological or moral suffering, caused to individuals.
b.2) Material damage: destruction, wear, breakage or loss of value or utility of items, and injury, illness or death caused to animals belonging to people.
b.3) Damage to flora or fauna: injury, degradation, illness or death of animals or plants which belongs to nobody, as well as degradation or destruction of their habitats or the conditions necessary for their reproduction.
Detriment: financial loss, consisting of expenses incurred or loss of income.
These observations are directly related to the content of Article 1 section d) of the bill, which regulates «Payment in kind». In said section three types of alternative action are established, where the second and third are supplementary to the previous one:
a) Restoration of goods to their previous condition.
b) If this is not possible, the establishment of «equivalent» compensatory measures.
c) If this not possible either, economic compensation «in the case of degradation of the environment, this will be used to carry out environmental action of compensation and improvement of the environment damaged».

Observations on this system
1. In the case of «damages», (Physical damage or damage to property) or «Injury», of those regulated in section b), which are irreparable (death or physical sequelae, for example), giving compensatory measures priority over economic compensation breaks with current practice and complicates the settlement of disputes. In this respect and for personal injury, it would be advisable to refer to the compensation amounts set in the so-called «scale» for road accidents 
2. In the case of «degradation of the environment», we encounter the problem of evaluating goods which, being irreparable, belong to nobody and are not on the market; regardless of the various evaluation systems which have been tried all over the world, it must be recognised that the decisions made in this respect have an element of subjectivity, lack consensus and give rise to considerable legal insecurity. 
In this respect, demanding, as does solution b), «equivalent» compensatory measures compounds this uncertainty and insecurity. 
On the other hand, we consider alternative c) to be a very round-about way of ending up in the same place, that is, «carrying out acts of environmental compensation and improvement of the environment damaged», with which the problem remains unsolved.

Proposal

When regulating the obligation to restore, we must consider that there are alterations such as that of the ozone layer, climatic change or the progressive erosion of the soil, which we do not have the technology to restore or evaluate economically and they do not conform to a system of civil liability.
It must be recognised that this legal instrument, although very efficient, cannot cover every aspect of restoration of damage to the environment, and must be complemented by action on the part of the Authorities which are better placed to deal with questions of public law. Compensation obligations of the application of the «he who pollutes pays» principle to individual cases should be limited to those areas in which it is possible to objectively evaluate the damage or carry out restoration. Below we propose an alternative which, in place of section 2.d) would serve to limit the obligations of the person liable in accordance with this law.
The person liable will be obliged to repair the goods damaged and compensate for those which are irreparable and for injury caused and specifically to:
Repair on his own account or pay third parties with a right to claim or their successors, the compensations arising from civil liability for damage, degradation and injury caused, in accordance with the following regulations:
a) In the case of the degradation of natural elements, he will take responsibility for their cleaning or removal and substitution, as far as possible, using the most viable procedure in terms of cost-effectiveness, until they are restored to the condition they were in before the damage was caused. Should this restoration prove impossible, he will compensate the loss of economic utility or market value of said goods.
b) In the case of damage caused as a consequence of degradation of natural elements, he will be liable for the following obligations:
b.1) For personal damage, payment of the costs of treating injuries and/or indemnity for death or incurable injury and for periods of disability and other concepts, in accordance with scales established in the System for Evaluating Damages or Injury Caused to Persons in Road Accidents», included in the Usage and Driving of Motor Vehicles Act.
b.2) For material damage, the cost of replacement and/or treatment of animals injured and the cost of repairs or replacement of damaged items.
b.3) For damage to flora and fauna, the cost of treatment or replacement of species and the cost of restoring the conditions necessary for their survival and reproduction, as far as possible using the most viable procedure in terms of cost-effectiveness, until they are restored to the condition they were in before the damage was caused. If the treatment, replacement or restoration of the plants or animals damaged or their living conditions is not possible, partly or completely, he will compensate the loss of economic utility or market value of said goods.
c) In the case of injury, he will compensate those who are deemed entitled.
Regarding the evaluation of natural elements, for the purposes of compensation when restoration of damage proves impossible, the carrying out of evaluation and rating tasks to find objective, although partial, formulae would be justified, for some of the areas for which there are as yet no established criteria.
1. Objective liability, (art. 3.1), that is, the injured party does not need to prove negligence on the part of the causer. 
The criteria for civil liability are in widespread practice for damages caused through dangerous activity or areas of professional or business activity, so that it would appear logical to apply them to cases regulated under this Act and therefore we raise no objection whatsoever.
2. Joint and several liability when there are several causers of one type of damage. (Art. 3.2.). This system aids the injured party in making his claim, which is a good thing, but does not favour the «he who pollutes, pays» principle, experience has taught us that the strict application of joint and several liability means that the one who finally ends up paying for the damage is not the one most responsible for causing it, but the one with the greatest solvency and risk cover, although he may have caused less pollution and the relationship between this and the damage caused is less obvious.
On the other hand, it would be desirable for a formula to be found to avoid industrialists’ being held solely responsible for so-called «risks of development», that is, the risk that due to technological and social evolution, with the passing of time, negative effects are discovered of actions which, when they were being carried were considered beneficial, or, at least, harmless. The Authorities have been exempt from this responsibility lately , which means that public actions could cause damage of this type without making the causers liable, whilst private actions would be.
3. The polluter may be declared liable for the damage even when the pollution (fumes, dumping, etc.) is below the maximum levels established by the Authorities, (Art. 4.3). Most industries (and individuals and non-industrial activities) need to produce a certain amount of pollution in their activity. The Authorities permit this «pollution quota», which they establish according to their estimates of dilution capability of the media (rivers, the atmosphere); in exchange, the Authorities charge the industries a fee for this permission, which must be used to provide measures which ensure that this authorised pollution causes no damage. Businesses have no authority nor any chance of control over the evaluation of the risks of said cumulative pollution.
It does not seem fair that those who have already paid the fee should be held accountable for possible damage caused by pollution which the Authorities have permitted as acceptable according to their estimates; it seems more appropriate that the Authorities themselves accept responsibility for the consequences of their mistakes in calculating the environment’s capacity to dilute the pollution without degradation.
4. The right of associations concerned with protecting the environment to demand the restoration of the environment damaged. (Art. 5.2, b).- It is logical that, as conserving the environment concerns the whole of society, its representatives, whether they be the Authorities, or non-governmental entities, wish to be empowered to undertake action in defence of this common heritage. 
However, one cannot ignore the fact that any authorised activity is vulnerable to people or entities with conflicting interests who may use the action of civil liability recklessly, and should be answerable for doing so, should that recklessness be proven. Consequently, it would be advisable to establish suitable requirements so that the claimant body could show interest in the object of the claim, along with a mechanism for claiming liability and providing financial guarantees similar to the one established for the potential causers of environmental damage. 
Consider, for instance, the social response obtained, with greater or lesser foundation, by any waste-disposal plant, necessary at this moment in time, from the local residents and the opportunity this law gives them to influence its future viability .
5. The obligation to offer guarantees of compensation in order to carry out regulated activity. (Art. 14). One must bear in mind when regulating obligatory guarantees that insurance coverage cannot, by its very nature, cover all the liabilities which come under the law.
In the following section we will explain the contribution to be made by insurance as a mechanism of prevention and guarantee, along with the limitations to its scope of action, and make a series of recommendations for greater efficiency of a system of compulsory insurance related to environmental risk.

Insurance against environmental civil liability

Individuals or entities exposed to the risk of Civil Liability logically aspire to protect themselves against the financial consequences of this risk; at the same time, the authorities responsible for protecting the environment, endeavour to ensure that individuals with the potential to cause damage, have sufficient financial back-up to be able to meet these possible responsibilities. In order to guarantee the aforementioned back-up, it is necessary to resort to certain financial guarantees, amongst them insurance against Civil Liability. 
Insurance plays a relevant part when it is a question of seeking protection or a guarantee of effective compliance with the obligation to compensate for damage to the environment; it is recognised as having a triple effect:
• It serves to redistribute risks which favours economic development, insofar as it facilitates foreseeing and scheduling certain costs which are subject to random factors. 
• Due to the methods used to calculate premiums and conditions on which its activity is based, it favours the equal distribution of said costs, ascribing them to the different policyholders in proportion with the extent of the risk each one creates.
• Finally, it contributes considerably to forewarning the industrialist at risk, as its control and reduction have a direct effect on a greater likelihood to accept the risk and, if necessary, better coverage conditions and lower premiums. This concurs with the purpose of the bye-law which, by establishing more effective mechanisms for claiming liability, implicitly aims to deter, promoting greater diligence on the part of individuals or entities with the capacity to cause damage. 
Insurers, therefore, are called upon to collaborate with the authorities to tailor the scope of coverage to established liabilities, even though, there are areas of responsibility which cannot be covered by insurance, due to the very nature of the contract or technical limitations. 
These aspects should be taken into account by the legislator, to avoid promoting norms of compulsory insurance which, through lack of precision or through being excessively wide-ranging, generate insecurity or make compliance impossible due to lack of offers on the insurance market. 

Limitations to insurance coverage
– Temporary limitations.- As insurance is a contract of a temporary nature for future events, the following must necessarily be exempt of coverage:
• Pollution already caused when insurance is taken out.
• Damage with prolonged latency periods from the policy is cancelled.
In this respect, applying the bye-law to prior actions or omissions, contemplated by the Provisional Sole Regulation of the Bill, creates insecurity and an important gap in the field of application of the insurance coverage. 
– Limitations due to the circumstances in which the accident occurred.- due to the random character of the insurance contract the following will not be included:
• Deliberate acts on the part of the industrialist (owner or manager).
• Habitual actions or those occasioned by normal activity .
• Liability attributed automatically to an industry for its involvement in polluting, regardless of the volume of waste dumped and the hazard it constitutes.
• Pollution through tolerable or legally tolerated levels.
– Limitations to the extent of coverage.- Liability for damage or loss of property which cannot be evaluated within objective parameters, although one may insure for repair or replacement as far as this is possible and technically viable. 
– Prohibition of insuring against sanctions.- On many occasions restitution of the damages mentioned will take the form of exemplifying sanctions rather than compensation for the specific cost of the property damaged, which cannot usually be evaluated objectively. They therefore greatly resemble fines and sanctions, which are personal and cannot be transferred to the insurance . Likewise, any other liability which can be claimed, at the same time, determined by the Authorities, and not in Civil proceedings, poses problems of coverage, as it is a fundamental of insurance against Civil Liability to maintain the possibility of defence of the insured on equal terms with the claimant in legal proceedings.
– Evaluation and selection of risks.- On the other hand, it is obvious that there are industries which are not in suitable environmental conditions. These, in theory should not be authorised to operate, but due to the fact that the power in this matter is in the hands of the Autonomous Public Authorities, the environmental conditions to be met in order for a licence to be granted may not be the same, and in turn, may differ from the risk acceptability criteria of the insurers, who carry out prior systematic analysis of the industry to be insured. Should the case arise, it could happen (it has happened on occasion) that an industry which has received provisional permission from the Authorities, cannot obtain insurance as they are unacceptable for the insurer.
This problem can only be solved if insurers, Authorities and other users such as financial bodies, work together previously to harmonise acceptability criteria •

Notes:
1 The White Book on Environmental Liability is a document the European Commission is working on, as a recommendation to the governments of the Member states, with which it aims to create the bases for national legislation on this matter. This document includes the conclusions drawn from the debate provoked in its day by the so-called «Commission’s Green Book on the Restoration of Environmental Damage», issued in May 1993 and which, in its turn, was the fruit of deliberation in the seat of the Commission, initiated officially in 1989, with the aim of promulgating a Guideline. This gives us an idea of the difficulty the European Union is encountering in harmonising the regulation of environmental damage. 
2 With the exception of stipulations for civil liability for damages caused by defective goods (3 years), which we will not deal with in this article
3 Except for manufacturers’ liability for damage caused by defective goods (10 years).
4 The text in question was published by the Ministry on 29th March 1999.
5 The System for Evaluating Damages or Injury Caused to Persons in Road Accidents, which was incorporated as an appendix to the Usage and Driving of Motor Vehicles Act, by Law 30/1995, of the 8th November, of the Regulation and Supervision of Private Insurance, in its Additional Provision number Eight; This scale has frequently been used to give an economic evaluation of personal damages in areas outside the driving of vehicles and has the advantage of giving security and uniformity in evaluating guidelines.
6 Law 4/1999, modifying Law 30/1992, of 26th November, Laws of Public Administration and Common Administrative Procedure, in article 141, establishes that «Damage derived from acts or circumstances which could not have been foreseen or prevented given the scientific or technological state of knowledge existing at the time the damage was caused will not be considered able to be indemnified"
7 See also article 9 of the Bill, regarding the establishment of preventive measures, in which the claimant is empowered to demand the cessation or even total or partial closure of the activity. 
8 The confusion between sanction and civil obligation, can be seen in various regulations of administrative law, which impose on the offender the obligation to restore the environment polluted, contemplating the saving or profit obtained by the offender as references for calculating the value of the elements which cannot be restored; see for example article 57 of Decree. 833/88, on dangerous waste.


Interview with Salvador Giner
Sociologist 

Salvador Giner was born in Barcelona in 1934. A graduate of law at the University of Barcelona, he went on to study sociology at the universities of Cologne and Chicago. Professor at the University of Barcelona, Giner has imparted classes almost everywhere. Author of numerous books and reference manuals, he is at present the director of the CSIC/Social Research Council's Institute of Advanced Social Studies. As well as making his contributions to traditional theory, this well-known sociologist is also at present researching environmental issues in what he calls the society of uncertainty. He also takes part regularly in debates and on television and writes editorial articles for quality newspapers.

"Man would like a Cartesian world but everything is becoming more and more uncertain."
It's always enlightening to hear a sociologist explain his or her basic theoretical points of view. In your case, what are they?
- I always start out from a conflictivist premise. With that I mean that there's nothing better than social conflict for describing reality. Conflict is the struggle by different groups and people to acquire scarce resources and it provides one with a better viewpoint for understanding the world than a functionalist or harmonistic perspective. I also take a rationalistic point of view; I'm a traditionalist, not a post-modernist.

So you mean that modernity needs to be rethought?
- Modernity always has to be rethought; by definition, that's the work of social science. We, sociologists, need to explain very clearly what we think. Many experts do this although there are some that don't, for example the sociologists that do surveys. They're ad hoc-ists. They do sociological studies that in truth don't have any theoretical grounding at all.

But statistics was invented by a sociologist…
- Right. It was a Belgian doctor and sociologist who was interested in social issues. He observed, for example, that there were more weddings during the month of May than during the month of January, which was no great discovery. He also observed that there were more suicides in summer than in winter. He analysed the data in a probabilistic way and invented statistics. It's a very useful tool although sociological research goes much further than this.
I explain my theoretical standpoint in the book entitled Introducció a la Sociologia (Introduction to sociology). Maybe the researcher doesn't need to make his or her ideological references very patent in the field of nuclear physics or biochemistry, but in the social sciences, you have to show your cards.

And with your cards face up on the table, what are your present lines of research?
- I've recently been working thoroughly on two important books: La societat catalana (Catalan Society) and the Diccionari de Sociologia (Dictionary of Sociology), published by Alianza Editorial. I'm now writing a history of sociological thought. Despite the amount of work involved in writing these books, I've also been taking part in two research projects: the Ulysses project and a project on uncertainty together with some colleagues at the University of Bologna, in Italy. In sociological terms, I prefer to talk about uncertainty and margins of insecurity than risk.

I'd like to ask you to talk more extensively on the differences that you see between the risk society and the society of uncertainty, but beforehand, perhaps you could explain what the Ulysses research project is.
- Ulysses is one of the projects that we're working on at the CSIC's Institute of Advanced Social Studies (IESA). This is an international project which different IESA individuals, including David Tàbara, are involved in. The aim is to establish how far people understand the ecological crisis, to what degree they theorise and rationalise about it, and what measures they are willing to take to control the situation.

In other words, a study of people's perception of the overall ecological crisis?
- It's not exactly on their way of perceiving. I'm very wary of that word: perception always goes accompanied by construction. Man perceives but then goes on to explain and generalise. He goes from the descriptive (perception) to the prescriptive (that which needs to be done).

What methodology has been used? 
- The methodology consists of objectively explaining the environmental situation in detail to selected groups of people. We take for example levels of pollution. The next step is to gather the information from the discussion groups. Instead of doing a survey, we bring groups of people together and gather information on their specific opinions. The selection criterion is the usual one for sociology: a stratified sample. We find people are very willing to come and they talk a lot because they feel that they are participating. This study on how people construe the overall crisis is being carried out in six European countries.

Are there any results that you could already give us?
- There's one thing that's very clear: the theory of the stupid mass being manipulated by television doesn't stand up at all. When people have the opportunity to speak and explain their ideas, they generally do so in a very coherent way. Their opinions are sensible although sometimes their ideas are somewhat dispersed. Experiences such as the Ulysses project lead us to the need to rethink democratic mechanisms; we need to go further than the question of elections. The new democracy has to be established and orientated more towards referendums and debates; participation on the part of the people needs to be stimulated. We see the case, for example, of talk shows and debates on the radio. They're often criticised, but how do you explain their success? 
When you listen to a debate between a group of people on the radio, you project and identify yourself one way or another in the conversation. Man likes to dialogue. The definite success of these debate shows can be explained by the contrast of opinions and the feeling that the listener has of being in communion with a group of people.

As far as the participation of normal people is concerned, electronic democracy is something that is talked about a lot these days. Do you think that the web can stimulate the creation of new settings for a more participatory form of democratic process?
- In a globalising world and from the public administration point of view, the problem is to what degree normal people can get to take part in public life. The innovative flow of technology is having wide-ranging effects on public administration. I'm quite sceptical about any potentially positive effects for democracy.

Why is that?
- In fact, the new computer technology is posing the possibility of a constant referendum. There are drawbacks to this, however. On the one hand, what percentage of people is connected up to this new technology? On the other, there is the problem of manipulation. For example, a very active social group with minimum representation could send thousands of letters to the Senate. Active militancy can compensate for the lack of representativeness. The features of inequality that characterises the computer society are also important. Who has a computer? Of those who have access to one, what percentage has a sufficient level of training to adequately use it as a tool?

But this inequality also appears in other areas. The truth is that the web is just a reflection of society…
- There are certainly kinds of power elite or knowledge elite; an upper middle class that controls and the vast majority that has very little to say. Nevertheless, looking for useful information on the Internet requires time. The analysis of time is a very important issue although very little attention is paid to it; in Italy, on the other hand, there are groups of well-known sociologists that specialise in carrying out studies on time.

A new society is taking shape at this point at the end of the Millennium...
- Since the eighteenth century...

The model of the industrial society has entered a crisis...
- Not at all. That's an assertion made by the post-modernists. Internet is no more than a prolongation of the telegraph and radio, and it was these that broke with the concepts of space and time. We find ourselves in the paradigm of modernity, an advanced modernity, but modernity after all. The most characteristic feature today is the globalisation of capitalism. This process began in the sixteenth century when Magellan reached Manila, and ends with satellites that will still continue to evolve for a hundred or two hundred years more. 
The change is certainly accelerating increasingly. When I think for example of the case of my father. Born in a village in Alicante, he's seen the stagecoach, the train, the plane and Internet. From the eighteenth century onwards, in fact, the main discourse of man has been centred on the future. The great paradox of modernity is that we live in a society that is focused on futurology, the calculation of probabilities and Fordism. Comte's positivist thinking has triumphed in our culture but Marx also had a very specific design for the future. Remember that the Russians used to make five-year plans. 

Family customs and work habits are being greatly modified. In economic terms as well, we're experiencing the transition from an economy based on the atom to one based on the intangible…
- That's it. All of this is shown by Daniel Bell in an excellent book back in 1962. In any case, it's disturbing to think that we have to use books that are over 30 years old for analysing the information society.

What about the contribution made by Manuel Castells?
- As far as I'm concerned, it's Bell's work that is important. I haven't read the whole of Castells' book but there are some reflections of his that come to mind about the so-called «Asian tiger» economies that haven't been fulfilled. Castells' work is worthy of consideration though.

Castells' ideas are the object of debate at present and the media seem to be paying a lot of attention to him...
- What can I say? Our society is one where Walt Disney has triumphed over Karl Marx. It's a culture based on triviality and theme parks. Interference rules. We live in a world of confusion and the media aren't doing anything to help the situation. Quite the opposite, they stir things up, trivialise the situation and make people of good faith believe that the contribution of so-and-so is original when in fact it's not. Someone who is considered to be a great philosopher from here is really a baby in the broader terms of Catalan philosophy. Really surprising things occur.

Coming back to the concept of the risk society, do you believe it to be a point of reference for explaining today's society?
- I don't think that it's any good as a model. Karl Marx's interpretation of modern society is a paradigm. I'm not a Marxist neither have I ever been one but I do recognise the potential of Marxism. Hayek's liberal interpretation of the modern world is also a paradigm. Thinkers who are points of reference for me are Raymond Aron, Karl Marx, and Daniel Bell. 

But security and risk are two concepts of modernity....
- There is an indisputable fact: risk has increased in all societies that have tried to eliminate it. Modernity is a big conspiracy to eliminate all forms of risk. You don't have to go any further than Barcelona where the Exchange House was invented as a way to counter risk. The Exchange House was an insurance company that provided finance for ships not returning from the Orient. The most important institution in the modern world is the insurance company. The Beneficient State is a kind of insurance company. People save up for retirement to reduce risk and they want to be civil servants. The paradox lies in the fact that man lives in an anti-risk society yet despite this obsession, he produces more and more risk every day. Just think of the number of car accidents that are increasing all around the world.

How do you evaluate the contributions made by the German sociologist Ulrick Beck, who developed the idea of risk society?
- My belief is that Beck hasn't made any big contributions although the merit is his for having expressed a powerful idea in specific terms. Beck has precisely and conclusively expressed a paradoxal situation: our society strives to achieve greater security and freedom from anxiety and yet produces more and more risk. Weber and Marx made certain contributions concerning these questions and it was Beck who brought the ideas together and gave them form. I agree with what Beck propounds, although I'd rather talk of the society of uncertainty than of the risk society.

What characterises this society of uncertainty?
- It's a society that conspires to control and divide the world; it wants to have everything under control. Bureaucrats, strategic plans, ministries and commissions, left, right and centre. We're obsessed with the Cartesian idea of dividing up the world. The paradox is that the world is becoming more and more uncertain. We're worried about whether we'll have enough to retire on, if there are sufficient taxes to finance our retirement pensions. The contradiction is that while advances in medicine are helping people to live longer, there's not enough money to guarantee people's retirement pensions. The so-called knowledge-based society is in truth a society based on ignorance. The same fundamental questions continue to haunt man, the eternal questions of «Does my partner love me?» or «Will he or she love me forever?"
Another component of my theory of uncertainty is that nobody, not even Mr Beck, can demonstrate that society is more insecure today than yesterday. A short time ago, people would die of a cold or colic. No one dies of an appendicitis attack today, and even if you had one on the top of a mountain, they'd send a helicopter to rescue you. The apocalyptic approach, that the media like so much, is very sly. One shouldn't forget that you could easily die from being kicked by a horse or from a cold in the nineteenth century or that the world in Roman times was very brutal. In short, there were a lot more risks in the pre-industrial society than in the industrial one.

Maybe the difference is that man has developed a whole series of technological tools that may threaten his very existence on the planet…
- I don't deny that the atomic bomb is very dangerous or that the world-wide ecological crisis poses many questions about the future. I don't want to trivialise Beck's ideas although I do believe they need to be clarified. Risk is an inherent characteristic of the human condition.

That's it, we live better than our ancestors did. It's also true that man has developed technological tools that lead him to believe that he is more powerful than nature. This change may well lead to the extinction of the species…
- I'm not a catastrophist but there are objective figures that are disturbing. The demographic trends set all the alarms going. In this respect, I believe more in prescriptive than in descriptive sociology. Beyond the mere analysis of what's going on, it's necessary to say what has to be done. We sociologists have to advise, not just describe what's going on in the world.

Any advice?
- For me, there's one thing that's very clear and that is that we need to distinguish between austerity and poverty. Society in the future will need to be more austere but not necessarily poorer. We can't continue with the madness of the car, for example. I believe it's been a big mistake to build car parks in city centres. We need to accept, therefore, the challenge of getting rid of car parks and motorways to reduce the number of cars. I want to see an austere world with really good schools, excellent universities, tramways and lightweight undergrounds, where nature is protected. We need to be more austere, to share wealth and reduce risk as much as possible. Man is a thinking being. As Socrates said, a life that isn't examined isn't worth living. A man who doesn't think about his condition isn't a man.

Do you believe that we're headed towards collapse?
- We're heading straight towards collapse. The only possible remedy is to apply reason. I'm not a catastrophist. I just claim that we're simply heading towards catastrophe if reason isn't able to save us. Our only hope is that rational analysis gets imposed on reality.


Environmental legislation

From Repairing Damage to 
Managing Environmental Risks
Ignasi Doñate

1.- Introduction

Ecological disasters caused by accidents in large chemical plants, nuclear power plants or those caused by the spillage of crude oil from oil tankers gave rise inevitably to the awareness of the enormous capacity for ecological destruction human intervention has shown in the second half of the 20th century. The victims of these disasters in some cases brought court action for damages sustained. Thus developed the traditional demand for civil liability for damages, but in this case applied to the environmental sector. 
Civil liability applied to the environmental sector highlighted the limitations of this legal figure as an efficient tool for the indemnity of damage and, above all, for preventing them. Within this area of prevention, the process of identifying the substances most harmful to human health and the environment began back in the sixties. Later, the serious accidents of Seveso, Bhopal... were the detonator for the regulation of risk control, risks which derived from the very existence of large industrial plants, in particular chemical plants.
This identification of harmful substances and of large plants likely to be the source of serious environmental damage gave rise to the need to evaluate the particular risks derived from them. The need to evaluate the risks was parallel to the new notion of liability for risks. We went from liability for damage to liability for risks.
The increase in damage derived from a series of serious accidents and the awareness of the risks resulting from the use of certain products and technologies has led us to consider environmental risks as something inbred in our contemporary society. In a society where risk is all around, with greater or lesser impact, the demand for safety has been valued, giving rise to the concept of «risk management» as a management system aimed at minimising risk, through a series of controls and instruments.
This risk management has gone beyond the purpose of preventing environmental disasters, to find its way into product quality-defining strategies, quality which once approved by a community of States allows the free movement of products in this area.

2.- Limiting «environmental» civil liability - CL 

The first problem with «environmental» CL is specifying what we mean by environmental damage. Given the diversity of damage in time, manner and space it is very difficult to say what is and what is not environmental damage. 
To this difficulty we must add the problem of who the people or entities entitled in each case to demand that the damage be repaired are. To whom does ownership of natural resources correspond? Who can claim for the extinction of a species? Another aspect of the problem is the complexity of identifying the cause of the damage and knowing how to act when we discover that there are several causes. Deciding the cause-effect relationship is one of the most technically and really complex in claims for environmental damage. Thus specific difficulties arise both with regard to defining «damage», the concept of «environment» and establishing cause-effect, and to deciding who is liable and who is entitled to demand reparation of damages. 
Fundamentally though, the limitation of the figure of CL is that it does not have a directly «preventive» purpose, but is applied to the treatment of damage which is already apparent, independently of its possible use as prevention. 

3.- From CL to «liability for risk"

The need to endow CL with a «preventive» character, due to the development of science and technology, has brought to the fore what is known as «liability for risk», a liability attributed to the owner of a «source» of danger. In this respect European Council Directive 85/374/EEC, regarding liability for damage caused by defective products, attributed the company owner with the liability for damage derived from the sale of his products.
Jurisprudence, although dominated by the principle of liability through guilt, progressively attributes liability, even for lawful acts, when they cause damage to third parties. Thus, we go from guilt derived from lack of respect for regulations, to acceptance of guilt when it is established that the culprit has not acted with due and socially acceptable diligence.
Nowadays to avoid CL you have to live by the rule «exhaust the diligence the concurrent circumstances call for in each case». Proving that he has acted diligently is the responsibility of the company owner himself, to whom is attributed the presumption iuris tantum that he is guilty if he himself does not prove that he has acted with all possible diligence. It is thus that in this process, practically establishing the principle in favour of the injured party and against the company owner, it is proposed that all damages must give rise to compensation... holding responsible the manufacturer or tradesman who, although having broken no laws, has not shown the necessary and socially acceptable diligence in the process of marketing his product.

4.- The demand for safety in risk society

4.1.- Safety as a positive formulation of risk.
Risk can be understood as the likelihood that a particular harmful event will take place. In comparison, safety is the result of a series of conditions or situations which tend to minimise risk. The concept of safety is not assimilable to the exemption of risk but to its minimisation.
Safety is not all it should be, it becomes a tendency more than a reality, an aim which cannot be achieved 100%, but it is possible to come close. Technically, safety demands are obligatory and go by the name of technical rules or regulations. Thus safety control is obligatory and must be carried out prior to marketing the product, although one must not confuse safety with the functional suitability of the product or the premises.

4.2.- General product safety
In this conceptual environment, by «safe product» one has to understand any product which, in normal or reasonably foreseeable conditions, including duration, constitutes no risk or only minimum risk, compatible with the use of the product considered admissible whilst maintaining a high level of protection?and respecting people’s health and safety. 
In accordance with European Council Directive 92/59/EEC, regarding general safety of products, the criterion of product safety includes the following elements:
• the characteristics of the product, amongst them, its composition, packaging, assembly and maintenance instructions.
• the effect of the product on others, when use of the former in conjunction with the latter can be reasonably foreseen. 
• the presentation of the product, from labelling, possible instructions for use or disposal, to any other indication or information the manufacturer may provide.
• the consumer groups at most risk from using the product, in particular children.
• from the point of view of regulations, a capacity to attain higher levels of safety compared to other products or manufacturing lower risk products is not a valid criterion for considering that a product is not «unsafe» or «hazardous». 
Safety obligations not only affect the manufacturer, they can also have repercussions on distributors, independently of the products’ control measures, regulations of approval and the obligations of the states when it comes to regulating and observing safety criteria. 

5.- Environmental risk

5.1.- The concept, magnitude and gravity of environmental risk
Environmental risk implies the existence of an element of uncertainty in the production of serious damage to the environment. Risk, although foreseeable by nature, contains elements of the «unexpected», «sudden» and «accidental».
The magnitude of a risk is determined by two global factors: the probability of the accident happening and the gravity of its consequences, that is, the risk (R) is equal to the probability (P) multiplied by the gravity (G).
For its part, the gravity of the accident has as factors the intrinsic importance of the material object of the accident and the environment where it took place. The damage will have to be repaired by the causers or those responsible. Such repair takes us into the area of manufacturer’s responsibility, although it does not rule out the possibility of liability for an environmental accident falling exceptionally on one or various individuals. For this reason when we speak of environmental risk we always refer to individuals or entities who, because of the products they use or the plants they run, are the causers of a risk to the environment which, due to its magnitude, may imply their being held liable for damage which all too often is incalculable.

5.2.- European Union evaluation legislation
IIn 1993 the first evaluation regulations were approved regarding risk to human health and the environment, applied to substances in use in the European Union. Thus an evaluation procedure was introduced which attributed to each of the member states the responsibility to evaluate the environmental risk constituted by a series of substances which appeared on priority lists. In accordance with this evaluation the state responsible for each substance would propose a prevention strategy to a Committee of representatives from the same states, which could include possible measures for limiting the sales and use of those substances in accordance with Directive 76/769/EEC.
Up to now three lists have been published containing a total of 110 substances given priority for evaluation by the member states. The principles of risk evaluation to be taken into account by the member states responsible for each substance were later included in (EC) Commission Regulation no. 1488/94.
This Regulation establishes that risk evaluation will imply the defining of the hazard –identifying the adverse effect a substance may cause, the evaluation of the dose(concentration)-response(effect) relationship, the evaluation of exposure and characterisation of the risk, understood to be the estimation of the impact and gravity of the probable adverse effects. The regulation establishes specific technical criteria for calculating the risk to human health and, separately, the risks to the environment.
These same criteria were adopted in Commission Directive 93/67/EEC, regarding hazardous substances regulated by a specific regulation on the packaging and labelling of these substances, established as a principle of evaluation.

6. – The risks of serious accidents: from industrial plants to hazardous substances 

6.1.- Serious accidents in certain industrial plants
The accidents at Flixborough in 1973, Beek in1975 and Seveso in 1976, created awareness of the gravity of the hazards and risk constituted by certain industrial plants. Directive 82/501/EEC was an approximation to the concept of risk, a legislative measure taken as a reaction to the Seveso accident, directed at preventing serious accidents which could derive from certain industrial activities catalogued in 10 categories centred largely on the chemical, oil or gas industry, or those handling large amounts of 10 specific substances included in the Directive. 
This was a Directive which affected both a certain type of plant due to the industrial processes carried out there, and plants handling large amounts of certain substances. A Directive which gave no definition of «hazard», or «risk» but which set the necessary harmonisation process in motion, given the magnitude of the accidents which clearly had world-wide effects.
The limitation of the Directive in its conception which was only applied to the industrial activities it listed, meant that following the catastrophe in Bhopal the number of industrial activities it contemplated and the established value limits, were increased under Directive 87/216/EEC. Likewise, the accident at the Sandoz plant in Basle and the corresponding contamination of the Rhine gave rise to a new Directive, 88/610/EEC, which included the storage of hazardous substances or preparations and provided for greater public information on all matters relating to their safety. 
In 1989, in view of the accidents in Bhopal and Mexico which highlighted the risks constituted by the proximity of industrial plants to residential areas, the Council put forward the need to ask for a Directive in matters of planning the occupation of land when authorising new plants or when carrying out urban development near existing industrial plants. 
This regulation on accidents in industrial plants also called for its scope to be increased and better exchange of information amongst member states. A sign of this concern is that the Fifth Environmental Action Programme insisted on the need for better risk and accident management.
The list in force at the time specified certain types of plants yet excluded others which constituted the same risk, which meant that potential sites of serious accidents escaped Union regulation. This verification led to the conclusion that it was necessary to go from a list of specific industrial plants to a ruling which affected all types of plants handling certain hazardous substances in sufficiently large quantities to cause serious accidents.

6.2 European Council Directive 96/82/EC, of 9th December 1996, regarding the control of risks inherent in serious accidents involving hazardous substances 
This Directive came into force on 3rd February 1997 and gave the states a period of 24 months in which to dictate regulations to be applied internally. Thus, this period ran out on 3rd February 1999 and, consequently, any citizen of the European Union may invoke this Directive whether the internal regulations of each member state have been dictated or not. 
6.2.1.- The Directive’s starting points 
Serious accidents in industrial plants have generally been due to mismanagement or flaws in organisation. For this reason it was advisable to define basic principles, at Union level, which would allow the prevention and control of the danger of serious accidents and limit their consequences. 
The Directive unifies criteria with regard to the inspection of establishments by the states, to avoid the creation of different levels of protection.
Improvement in environmental protection requires that those responsible for the plants provide the competent authorities with adequate information in a safety report containing data on the establishment, existing hazardous substances, the plant or storage, possible serious accidents and systems of management.
The «domino» effect has been observed in establishments which, due to their location or proximity to residential areas or environments, could increase the probability of an accident occurring or the chances of making it worse, which only emphasises the need for more information, more adequate exchange of information and more co-operation in keeping the public informed.
In extreme situations, in those establishments handling large amounts of hazardous substances, it is necessary to implement external and internal plans of emergency and systems which guarantee that these plans are checked, revised and applied. In this respect the regulation disposes that internal plans of emergency should be implemented following consultation with staff, and external plans of emergency should be implemented following consultation with the public.
In an effort to improve environmental protection territorial plans must take into account the need, in the long term, to ensure adequate separation between areas.
In the field of information it has been established that the public must have access to safety reports drawn up by industrialists and that people affected by a serious accident must have enough information at their disposal to be able to take suitable action in such cases. The Directive stipulates that industrialists must keep the authorities fully informed and provide them with the data necessary to evaluate the consequences of each accident. States must inform not only of accidents, but also of incidents which could be of interest.
6.2.2.- Definitions
The Directive is currently the Union statutory instrument which best addresses the problems related to environmental risks and in this sense includes definitions of the most relevant concepts:
• "Establishment», the total area under the control of an industrialist where substances can be found in one or various premises or activities which are common or related. 
• "Premises», areas of an establishment where hazardous substances are used, handled or stored. 
• "Hazardous substances», are substances, mixtures or preparations mentioned in part 1 of Appendix 1 of the Directive (which includes 30 substances), or which fulfil the criteria established in the 10 categories of substances and preparations included in part 2 of Appendix 1.
• "Serious accident», an incident, such as an emission, fire or explosion of considerable dimensions, resulting from an uncontrolled process during the operation of any establishment to which the Directive applies, which constitutes a grave danger, whether immediate or not, to human health or the environment, within or without the establishment and involving one or various hazardous substances.
• "Hazard», the intrinsic capacity of a hazardous substance or physical situation to cause damage to human health or the environment.
• "Industrialist», any individual who exploits or owns the establishment or premises or, if provided for under national legislation, any person to whom determining economic power, in relation to technical operation, may have been delegated.
• "Risk», the probability that a specific effect will occur in a given period of time or in a given set of circumstances. 
6.2.3.- Activities excluded from the Directive
The Directive does not apply, however, to military establishments, hazards created by ionising radiation, the transport of hazardous substances and their temporary storage, transport via canals, mineral extracting activities or waste dumping sites.

6.3.- The transport of hazardous substances
The measures imposed by the Directive regarding the control of the risks inherent in serious accidents involving hazardous substances should be complemented, in particular, by state legislation regulating the transport of hazardous substances. At Union level this transport is subject to the following Directives:
6.3.1.- Directive 93/75 on due minimum conditions on ships, which has since been amended on several occasions, the last being its inclusion in Directive 98/74.
6.3.2.- Directive 94/55 on approximation of legislation on road transport, later amended by Directive 96/86/EC.
6.3.3.- Directive 96/49/EC on approximation of legislation on rail transport, later adapted to technological advances by Directive 96/87/EC.

6.4.- Hazardous waste
Finally, the other important set of measures which may be applied to risk prevention are those established for hazardous waste and its transport across frontiers. 
6.4.1.- Hazardous waste in the European Union
The framework Directive on waste (75/442/EEC, amended by 91/156/EEC) when referring to hazardous waste, must be complied with through the specific regulations of Directive 91/689/EEC which specifically includes «hazardous waste», and was later amended by European Council Directive 94/31/EC. 
The waste this Directive in particular applies to are those on the «List of Hazardous Waste» from the European Council Decision, of 22nd December 1994, although there is a more general one, included in the «European Catalogue of Waste».
The specific problem of incinerating hazardous waste gave rise to the adopting of a European Council Decision, on 21st April 1997, on measuring methods harmonised in order to determine the mass concentration of dioxins and furans in atmospheric emissions. 
6.4.2.- The «Basle Convention», on the control transboundary movements of hazardous wastes and their disposal.
The Basle Convention, of 22nd March 1989, was approved by the European Economic Community, as was, with the European Council Decision of 1st February 1993 which includes as an Appendix the entire text of the Convention.
To incorporate the Basle Convention tidily into Union legislation, Regulation 259/93 was adopted, regarding the monitoring and control of internal movements of waste and its entry and exit from the European Union. This regulation was partially amended by (EU) Council Regulation no. 120/1997, in the sense of prohibiting completely the export of hazardous waste directed at recycling or revaluation operations to countries which are not members of the OECD. The progressive limitations on the export of hazardous rejects to third countries have increased with European Council Decision 97/640/EC, by which the amendment to the Basle Convention was approved.
6.4.3.- Basic regulation in Spain and Catalonia
Despite the unification of waste treatment after Law 10/1998, Regulation of Toxic and Hazardous Waste, passed by Royal Decree 833/1998, remained largely in force, until it was amended by Royal Decree 952/1997. The objectives of the Spanish authorities with regard to hazardous waste for the period 1995-2000 are established in the Cabinet Convention of 17th February 1995, through which the National Plan of Hazardous Waste (B.O.E –Official Gazette– no. 114 of 13/5/1995) was approved.
Catalonian regulation is contained in Legislative Decree 2/1991, by which the revision of legal texts in force regarding industrial waste was approved. 
Thus, in the area of industrial waste, specific regulations are kept in force which establish the responsibility of the Autonomous Government of Catalonia to adopt the necessary measures to foment activities relating to the minimisation, treatment at source and exploitation or elimination of industrial waste, whilst ensuring that these activities take place in appropriate conditions in order to protect the environment and the exploitation of natural resources.
Current legislation regulates the action of the Waste Agency, not only with regard to the minimisation, recycling and treatment of waste, but also the restoration of degraded areas and the adoption of urgent measures for the management of industrial waste, from promoting waste treatment plants to regulating management activity. 
The category of special industrial waste is maintained, with its own particular register, and its management is subject to specific authorisation by the Waste Agency which also regulates its collection, transport and management conditions.

7.- Other safety strategies applied to hazardous substances and preparations

7.1.- Classification, packaging and labelling of hazardous substances and preparations.
The classification, packaging and labelling of hazardous substances were subject to the specific regulation of European Council Directive 67/548/EEC. One of the latest adjustments to technical advances is Directive 98/98.
The principles of evaluation of the risks to humans and the environment, as mentioned above, were established under Commission Directive 93/67/EEC. The current list of hazardous substances was passed under Directive 93/90.
As a complement to previous regulation, Directive 88/379 established the classification, packaging and labelling of preparations, later adapted to technical advances by Directive 89/178. 

7.2.- Restriction of the marketing and use of particular hazardous substances and preparations 
This restriction was institutionalised under Directive 76/769, which has been amended on sixteen occasions, the latest amendment being Directive 96/56. 

8.- Environmental risk management

The expression «risk management» refers to a series of strategies and instruments which enable us to identify where risk is to be found and evaluate its importance according to the plant and its environment. In accordance with the diagnosis and evaluation of the risk it will be necessary to adopt a programme of environmental action.

8.1.- Environmental identification and diagnosis 
The first step in the risk management procedure is to identify the activity which generates the risk and its environment, this identification is based on information which is fundamental to establish all its parameters. During the identification process all possible risk situations are considered. The knowledge of the environmental accidents which have happened to date and the data on the contamination levels reached in each case are important factors in this stage of risk identification. 
Apart from identifying the risks, it will also be necessary to verify whether the establishment complies with environmental legislation with regard to emissions, dumping, waste, noise, vibrations, radiation and all kinds of environmental parameters which must be taken into account.
In this same stage of environmental diagnosis it will be necessary to investigate the establishment’s environmental management policy: the degree of awareness of its management team, the extent to which techniques of environmental control are applied, the company’s organisation and the powers of each level of command, staff training, alarm and control systems, plant maintenance, the application of a plan of emergency and whether or not a clear definition of company environmental policy exists.

8.2.- Evaluation
Evaluation will start with the most foreseeable risks, seeking to establish the cause of the risks, estimating their gravity and an approximation of the probability of them occurring. 

8.3.- Prevention
In accordance with the evaluation, a plan of environmental management will be drawn up to prevent risks, beginning with the most serious, those which could give rise to the closing of the activity or bring a considerable financial burden, and ending with the minor risks which are easily prevented. The plan must define an environmental policy and objectives to be achieved. A programme of action and a follow-up procedure will be drawn up. Finally, a programme of environmental audits will be drawn up to evaluate in a systematic, documented, periodical and objective fashion, the workings of the organisation, its management system and equipment aimed at protecting the environment.

8.4.- Finance
Based on the «he who pollutes pays» and «objective liability» principles of environmental damage and with cost forecasts becoming increasingly high, it will be necessary to draw up a finance plan associated with the environmental risk which has been diagnosed and its evaluation. This finance plan will generally take the form of adequate internal or external funds, at the same time seeking to pay the lowest amount of tax possible. The need for this type of specific funds derives from the difficulty usually encountered when trying to obtain external insurance against environmental risk. 

9.- Risk management mechanisms

Risk management at European Union level is currently associated with a range of mechanisms, some of which are obligatory and others optional.

9.1.- Integrated control of contamination
The authorisation or licensing of activities which could constitute an environmental risk is the first control and evaluation of this type of risk to be carried out. European Council Directive 96/61/EC was the foundation of this new contamination control system. This regulation is based on the idea that complete co-ordination of the process and the terms of authorisation of all types of activities will aid in achieving maximum protection of the environment as a whole.
The Directive establishes a general framework of integrated contamination prevention and control, whilst setting out the measures to be taken to achieve this effectively and at the same time favouring sustainable development. The Directive assumes a far-reaching concept of «contamination» defining it as the direct or indirect release, through human activity, of substances, vibrations, heat or noise into the atmosphere, water or soil, which could have harmful effects on human health or the quality of the environment, or which could cause damage to property or degrade or impair the enjoyment or other legitimate uses of the environment. 
This integral control was introduced in Catalonia under Law 3/1998, of the integral intervention of the Environmental Authority. With this law, which came into force on 30 June 1999, the Regulation of nuisance-causing activities was rendered inapplicable. Finally, under Decree 136/1999, of 18th May, the General Regulation of application of Law 3/1998 of the integral intervention of the Environmental Authority was passed and is adapted to its appendices.
 

9.2.- Evaluation of environmental impact 
With Directive 85/337 the environmental impact evaluation system of certain projects was established, considered a procedure for administrative intervention in public or private projects to foresee their direct or indirect effects on humans, fauna and flora, the soil, water, air, climate and landscape, property and cultural heritage and the interaction between all these elements. 
The Union’s pillars of environmental impact evaluation are the principles of prevention, integration of environmental policy in other policies and the principle of respect for national policies on environmental protection and exploitation of energy resources.
Impact evaluation regulations have, however, been marked by a lack of adequate compliance on the part of some member states which has perhaps translated to lack of regulated development of this evaluation technique.
In accordance with Directive 97/11/EC, currently member states can establish a sole procedure for complying with the requirements of impact regulations and the requirements of European Council Directive 96/61/EC, regarding integrated contamination prevention and control. 

9.3.- Ecological labelling
The concession of an ecological label to a product involves a process which requires carrying out an evaluation of the risk the product as a whole may constitute. For this reason the system established under Regulation 880/92 has been implemented generally in all the countries of the European Union and has specifically given rise to the establishing of criteria for a various products (washing machines, dishwashers, fridges...). In Spain the concession of ecological labelling was regulated under Royal Decree 589/94.

9.4.- Civil liability
The European Union continues to use CL as one of its mechanisms for risk management, a CL which is increasingly based on objective liability which simplifies claiming for damage and encourages prevention. It is necessary to define which type of activities it would apply to and establish the financial instruments specific to the indemnity of damage. The theory of civil liability for environmental damage was echoed by the European Commission in its communiqué of 1993 called «The Green Book on the indemnity of ecological damage». 

9.5.- Internalisation of costs
Risk management implies assuming internally all the environmental costs generated in an establishment or by the launch of a product. For this reason the European Union promotes the internalisation of costs as a mechanism which is indispensable for good risk management. This management should not exclude part of the real costs by outsourcing them.

9.6.- Environmental auditing
The system of voluntary environmental management and auditing, although it does not specifically mention risks, is another tool of risk management directed at improving environmental management and regulating the instruments available to do so.
European Council Regulation 1836/93, under which companies in the industrial sector are allowed to join the Union Environmental Management and Auditing System (EMAS) was developed in Spain under Royal Decree 85/96.
Later, with European Commission Decision 97/264, the certification procedure (EMAS) was recognised and with Decision 97/265, of 16th April 1997, on the recognition of international regulation ISO 14001:1996 and European regulation EN ISO 14001:1996, new specifications were established for environmental management, in conformity with article 12 of the Regulation.

10.- Epilogue
Environmental risk management thus constitutes a compendium of mechanisms directed at preventing environmental hazards. This objective overrides the pre-existing mechanisms of CL or of specific treatment of hazardous substances, which makes it a complex system of regulations. This complexity is evident in the plurality of regulations, but also and above all, in the ever-increasing difficulty encountered in managing safety within a growing, global framework of risk. Managing risk currently constitutes the most paradigmatic scientific and technological challenge in wealthy societies, which try to make their excessive and discriminatory exploitation of resources «sustainable» •


News

Congress on Natural Risks

"The natural environment has ceased to be a source of resources and a basis for existence and has become a recreation area. As a consequence of these [leisure] activities we are witnessing a marked increase in the number of accidents: adventure sports practised without expert supervision, food poisoning from eating wild mushrooms, insect bites, camping in risk areas.» With these words the organisers of the 1st Congress on Natural Risks, held last May in Sant Celoni, expressed the need for an encounter to consider the increase in risks (to people and the environment) related to the new uses of what is generally termed the natural environment.
The Autonomous University of Barcelona, through the Centre for Environmental Studies, the Sant Celoni Town Council and the Sant Celoni Hospital were the organisers of this encounter, which took place on 7th and 8th May under the heading of «Natural Risks. The Management and Prevention of environmental impact on health and human activities». The congress, the first dedicated specifically to natural risks to be held in our country, was lead by Teresa Romanillos (Sant Celoni Hospital) and Martí Boada (Autonomous University of Barcelona). The initiative received support from various entities: The Autonomous Government of Catalonia, The Provincial Council of Barcelona, The Regional Council of El Vallès Oriental, CESPA and Almirall Prodesfarma laboratories.

New challenges to our lifestyle

The modern lifestyle, whose activity is centred on cities, brings a new relationship between Man and what is called Nature, the environment which remains largely untouched. This natural environment is defined in comparison with the habitual environment –an urban environment offering little comfort– and becomes the destination of flight, that necessary weekend or holiday escape to make city living more «bearable». This use of the natural environment is based on the implementation of a series of norms of behaviour and consumption which were previously unknown such as, for example, greater rural tourism and the consequent increase in the frequentation of woodlands. 
It does not need to be said that this type of urban invasion and revaluation of the rural world has had and is having a positive effect on local economies, generally quite depressed previously. The danger lies in the imbalance arising from over-intensive exploitation which could culminate in these communities’ principal resource: the landscape and quiet, being destroyed. In this way, and paradoxically, modern methods of getting back to nature and gaining knowledge of the environment are accompanied by the real danger of impoverishing the landscape. On the other hand, they also increase the risks which, rather than affecting the environment directly, affect those who enjoy it. The growing number of visitors increases the chances of having an accident.
For example, since 1970 the number of accidents which we could call traditional has dropped in the Montseny area (accidents in forestry and agricultural work or in quarries). However, the number of road accidents and those arising from the new leisure activities pursued in this mountain area has risen. These are the main conclusions drawn from the study on risks and mortality related to the Massís del Montseny (the Montseny Massif) presented by the biologist Martí Boada at the Congress on Natural Risks.
On the other hand, and according to data contributed by the geographer David Saurí, avalanches have caused the death of around 40 people in the Spanish Pyrenees in the last decades. Up until very recently this was a little-known risk because of the little social impact it had. What does that mean? Have natural disasters increased in severity? The answer is a categorical no because, as Saurí himself says, «all the experts agree on the fact that what has increased is not the danger factor, but rather social and territorial vulnerability», that is, the number of people exposed to the effects of a natural disaster has increased as much as the risk situations (farmlands which have been left and «taken over» by bushes which increase the start and spread of fires, building in floodable river areas, damming, frequenting areas prone to avalanches, etc.). 

Multidiscipline and global vision

All in all, the changes currently taking place in our natural environment demand changes in the type of policies directed at its administration which is becoming, inevitably, more complex. Therefore, concludes David Saurí, we need a zoning policy of risks and territorial planning which allows efficient, preventive management. 
On the other hand, we must make a greater effort to achieve effective multidiscipline, a need which constituted one of the key questions which gave rise to debate at the Congress. The collaboration between professionals from various disciplines, which is fundamental to bring about integrating, efficient territorial management, was outlined by the professionals taking part: doctors, geographers, public administrators, journalists, lawyers, philosophers, biologists, psychologists, teachers, environmentalists. Despite this diversity, however, the combining of tasks carried out in the different fields of knowledge must be real, that is, organised in a common project. Without the idea of shared enterprise, the wealth gained from the formative diversity of the almost 50 expounders who spoke at Sant Celoni, is not only lost but becomes inoperative. 
One can conclude from all this, therefore, that the question of how to approach the objectives and strategies of this political action could be the topic of the next Congress. Moreover, and given that any policy of natural risk prevention and management should be approached from the point of view of multidiscipline, the way in which this diversity of disciplines can be exploited would be, naturally, another matter of special interest for the 2nd Congress on Natural Risks. Or should we say Social Risks? •

J. C. 


Premis Medi Ambient awards 1999

On the occasion of International Environmental Day, on 5 June, the Department of the Environment of the Catalan Autonomous Government gave out the Premis Medi Ambient awards, as it does each year. In the 1999 edition, the winners were the Catalan Natural History Institute (Institució Catalana d’Història Natural, ICHN) and the paper mill, Paperera Alier, S.A.
The Department awarded the ICHN for its «constant dedication to study, protection and training for greater knowledge of the environment». The Premi Medi Ambient 1999 award coincided with the centenary of the institution, which was founded in 1899 and which has formed part of the Institute for Catalan Studies (Institute d’Estudis Catalans) since 1917. The ICHN is responsible for the leading works in establishing and diffusing ecological thought in Catalonia, such as the White paper on nature, The natural systems of the Ebro delta and the natural systems of the Medes Islands. It is currently working on the drafting Estratègia catalana per a la conservacioó i l’ús sostenible de la diversitat biològica.
In the case of the other Premi Medi Ambient 1999 award winner, the company Paperera Alier, S.A., the Department acknowledged its double task in conserving the environment, including both its support to institutions and associations which work in this area and the implementation of an Environmental Management System which has led to a series of improvements in the environmental cost of the paper mill. This system includes construction of the mill’s own dumping area to treat the waste properly and the preparation of a Gradual Decontamination Plan which involves building a biological water treatment plant. Furthermore, the mill has replaced fuel oil with a cogeneration plant powered by natural gas. Paperera Alier, S.A. was the first Spanish company to obtain the «Blue Angel» ecological label awarded by the German ministry of the environment •

J. C. 


Ecology of leisure

Història del pensament biològic 
Josep Lluís Barona
Universitat de València, 1998, 234 pages.

The ancients had their own interpretations of natural phenomena, based above all on myths which were an attempt to explain what they did not fully understand. And the author goes back to prehistoric and primitive societies in this book. This part of the history of biological thought, which has not always been sufficiently well covered, is an excellent and attractive introduction to the evolution, now more rational and scientific, of these ideas. Classical Greek biology, the Middle Ages and the Renaissance are covered in the following chapters. But, obviously, the sections on the 17th and 18th centuries and modern development are the most extensive.
This book offers a complete view of biological thought and not only because the author refers to periods which, as we said before, have frequently been somewhat forgotten, but because he stresses all the aspects which have made up this thought throughout history. This means not only recognising the value of scientific elements, but also the cultural, religious, social and philosophical factors which have influenced and constituted this evolution. On the other hand, Barona uses a wider frame, and thus pays attention to more medical matters –the circulation of the blood, anatomical studies– and to disciplines which play an important part in the knowledge of living things, such as chemistry, physiology and biochemistry • 

X.D.


El significado de la evolución
Robert J. Richards
Alianza Editorial, Madrid, 1998, 230 pages. (original version: The Meaning of Evolution, University of Chicago, 1992)

Even today evolution and its history gives rise to heated debate, which feed the genesis and development of these ideas, the possible ideological derivations of their interpretation and the most scientific details of the theory. The subtitle of this book would not attract many non-specialist readers: «The morphological construction and ideological reconstruction of Darwin’s theory». And despite the fact that it is not aimed at the general public, the book contains enough elements to be of interest to more people than merely evolutionists or biological historians. Richards explains the concept of evolution and its variation throughout time –that is, «the evolution of evolution.» The author takes special pleasure in the idea of recapitulation, which was first given theoretical shape by John Hunter in the 18th century, but which has found its most staunch defender in Ernst Haeckel. Basically, he states that ontogeny recapitulates phylogeny, that is, that the development of the embryo summarises the phases of evolution of the species. The revision of this idea and its influence on evolutionism and on Darwin goes a long way and Richards devotes over half the book to it. After that, in the last chapter he criticises the hisotircal vision defended by Stephen Jay Gould and Ernst Mayr. It is here that we observe how the analysis of a scientific idea favours an extremely interesting ideological debate. And it goes without saying that, given the calibre of those involved and the weight of some of their arguments, it is extremely controversial •

X.D.


La biología del futuro. ¿Qué es la vida? Cincuenta años después
Michael P. Murphy and Luke A.J. O'Neill (editors)
Tusquets, Barcelona, 1999, 262 pages. (original version: What is life? The next fifty years. Speculations on the Future of Biology, Cambridge University Press, 1995)

In 1943 the physicist Erwin Schrödinger, one of the fathers of quantum mechanics, gave a series of lectures which were to constitute one of the most intellectually enriching contributions to the recent history of science. His principal thesis was that new physics could explain something as complex as heredity and the thermodynamics of living things. The popularity of the texts, published the following year, and their influence on scientific and intellectual debate is still very much alive, as this book proves.
It contains contributions from specialists in several fields who analyse not only the Austrian physicists ideas –to whom the book is a tribute– but also very different aspects of modern biology and its social and human impact. Thus, researchers from fields as different as those represented by Stephen Jay Gould, Jared Diamond, Roger Penrose or Christian de Duve deal with various aspects of life, evolution, culture and language. A book which, as tends to be the norm in this «Metatemas» collection, provokes thought and debate •

X.D.


Diccionario de Socioecología 
Ramon Folch
Planeta, 1999, 325 pages.

This is an atypical dictionary from an also atypical discipline –at least in name. The collection of dictionaries by this author aims for intellectuals from various fields to put forward their most important ideas through entries of specific terms. This gives rise to a dictionary which cannot be of simple definitions and to a selection which does not claim to be exhaustive, but rather contribute to an exposition dealing with a subject matter in depth.
The ecologist Ramon Folch has not confined himself to compiling a dictionary of his own discipline nor has he kept in the title the name everybody uses to describe his speciality. In forming this neologism, Folch makes his intentions clear: ecology is a specific scientific discipline, but to understand current environmental problems and study their solutions the social, economic and political factors must be included. 
The book, as well as making reading easy, whether you read straight through or pick sections at random, gives a fairly clear idea of the author’s opinion. Many entries will surprise more than one reader: adversity, anthropocentrism, art and science, Cister, emotion, uncertainty, internalisation, multidisciplinary, Pietism, magic realism, hard rock, rurbà (a possible translation could be rurban or urbanr)... It is not a dispersion of subjects, but of a list which, in the author’s style, attempts to relate ecology –the study of the relationships between living things and between them and their environment– to the various factors modern society has introduced over time. And all this whilst showing, with every entry, great sensitivity and concern for imbalances (inequalities?) and injustices •

X.D.


Producció + Neta 
Miquel Rigola
Departament de Medi Ambient-Rubes Editorial, Barcelona, 1998, 140 pages.

It is true that all industrial activity produces waste and pollution. It is also true that it is a simple question of survival to reduce these effects to the minimum. This book –published in Catalan and Spanish versions– does not speak of clean production but cleaner production. It is not a question of eliminating any environmental effect, but of trying to keep it to a minimum. And this is forced not only by logic which obliges us to care for the environment, but also –and we suppose for some, especially– by ever stricter environmental legislation.
This is eminently practical and useful. Although it starts off with a general presentation of what cleaner production is and its historical evolution, it quickly goes on to explain what determining factors and difficulties its application implies and how it affects the different industrial processes. The different chapters, which are clear and concise, expound the evaluation of technologies, product design and processes, water and energy management systems and the way any progress made can be measured. The appendix specifies 23 sectors of production, describing their principle characteristics and gives a specific bibliography. In short, this simple book is a well-studied well-drawn up tool so that all professionals can consider the objectives of environmental impact, and at the same time, better manage their production •

X.D.


La tècnica contra la democràcia 
Michel Claessens
La Campana, Barcelona, 1998, 243 pages. (original version: Ed. du Seuil, París, 1998)

We tend to think –and rightly so– that scientific and technological development favours freedom and democracy. But when this development is based more on the need to encourage consumption for the sake of consumption and not on satisfying the basic needs of the majority of the population, we wouldn’t go far wrong if we said that technology goes against democracy. In this essay, subtitled «The progressive rupture between science and society», the author, a scientific journalist who works at the DG XII of the European Commission –"Science, Research and Development"– and who therefore knows the subject well, explains in what way technoscientific development has strayed from its basic objectives and has followed a path which diverges from participative democracy. Claessens gives various examples according to which it would appear that humans have to adapt to new products and create ever more needs to favour an exaggerated, accelerated and frequently illogical development. He also states that the media have become transmitters of a triumphalist image and often silence works which do not follow the most official line.
Claessens proposes that citizens acquire greater scientific knowledge and information, to be able to take greater part in the technoscientific decisions which affect them. This, however, will not be easy to achieve as long as many countries continue to reduce the number of class hours spent on science and technology in general education and the media do not incorporate clear elements to judge, without apriorisms, the benefits and risks of technological advances •
X.D.


 

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